Match Info

J1 League - Round 6

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Mercari Stadium (Kashima)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kashima Antlers		Kawasaki Frontale

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.7	Watch
	1.9	3.55	3.65
	2	3.71	3.8
	1.9	3.81	3.78	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.6
	1.97	3.63	3.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.9)	3.62 ↓ (3.92)	3.71 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kashima Antlers
48.7%

Draw
26%

Kawasaki Frontale
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

24.1%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Kawasaki (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Kawasaki (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kashima Antlers will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kashima Antlers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashima (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Kawasaki (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 22. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. (C) 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 16. Mizoguchi S. 71. Araki R. 14. Higuchi Y. 6. Misao K. 77. Cavric A. 9. Leo Ceara 40. Suzuki Y.	49. Brodersen S. (G) 29. Yamahara R. 3. Taniguchi H. 28. Maruyama Y. 13. Miura S. 8. Tachibanada K. 10. Oshima R. 41. Ienaga A. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 17. Ito T. 91. Romanic L.
Substitutes
13. Chinen K. 17. Elber 24. Hayashu H. 29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 27. Matsumura Y. 7. Ogawa R. 5. Sekigawa I. 10. Shibasaki G. 11. Tagawa K.	9. Erison 21. Hayasaka Y. (G) 19. Kawahara S. 18. Konno K. 23. Marcinho 2. Matsunagane Y. 16. Ozeki Y. 22. Uremovic F. 6. Yamamoto Y.
Coaches
Oniki T.	Hasebe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Ienaga A. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
66', Cavric A. ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
66', Araki R. ↓, Hayashu H. ↑,
66', Oshima R. ↓, Yamamoto Y. ↑,
74', Higuchi Y. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Leo Ceara ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
83', Ito T. ↓, Konno K. ↑,
83', Romanic L. ↓, Erison ↑,
83', Tachibanada K. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
84', Misao K. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
84', Mizoguchi S. ↓, Ogawa R. ↑,
90+1', Tagawa K. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 3.

Kashima is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kawasaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kashima might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Knee Injury) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Kawasaki: Lee G. (Knee Injury) Oshima R. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashima Antlers: 13.09% Kawasaki Frontale: 6.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kashima Antlers	4	4	0	0	11:6	5	12
7	Kawasaki Frontale	4	1	3	0	8:6	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
07.03.26	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo Verdy	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Kashima Antlers - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Tokyo - Kashima Antlers	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWL
- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
01.03.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Mito HollyHock	3:2 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	JEF United Chiba - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1 penalties ✺
08.02.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashiwa Reysol	5:3 ✺
06.12.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kawasaki Frontale	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
05.07.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers	2:1
11.05.25	Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1
01.11.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers	1:3
17.03.24	Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1
24.11.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers	3:0
25.02.23	Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale	1:2
27.08.22	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers	2:1

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