Match Info

J3 League - Round 24

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Prifoods Stadium (Hachinohe)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Vanraure Hachinohe		Osaka

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.3	3	2.92	Watch
	2.33	3.1	3.19
	2.16	2.87	3.78	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.5
	2.29	3.02	3.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.67)	2.98 ↓ (3.24)	3.05 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanraure Hachinohe
39.1%

Draw
30.8%

Osaka
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

27.9%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

27.7%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanraure Hachinohe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vanraure Hachinohe's performance.

Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Osaka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanraure Hachinohe than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vanraure Hachinohe - Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vanraure will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vanraure (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Vanraure (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vanraure (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Onishi S. (G) 22. Shirai T. 20. Minoda K. 11. Yukie H. 16. Kaburaki M. 8. Otoizumi S. 7. Sato A. 80. Nagata K. 5. Inazumi D. 9. Sawakami R. 99. Nakano S.	1. Yamamoto T. (G) 37. Tsutsumi S. 5. Minakuchi Y. 3. Kawakami R. 6. Tachino S. 41. Nose R. 8. Haga A. 33. Woo S. 11. Tone R. 19. Masuda S. 9. Shimada T.
Substitutes
30. Inami Y. 27. Kokubun M. 24. Kurisawa R. 45. Nascimento G. 17. Sasaki K. 14. Senoo N. 25. Taniguchi Y. (G) 47. Wakizaka R. 29. Yagishita D.	7. Kitsui T. 39. Mochizuki S. 51. Nishimura M. 34. Sakamoto K. 24. Sato R. 27. Sawazaki R. 31. Sugawara H. (G) 25. Takei S. 4. Yamashita R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Kawakami R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Tone R. ↓, Kitsui T. ↑,
60', Nose R. ↓, Nishimura M. ↑,
64', Nakano S. ↓, Inami Y. ↑,
73', Haga A. 🟨,
77', Kaburaki M. ↓, Sasaki K. ↑,
79', Masuda S. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
79', Haga A. ↓, Sawazaki R. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Sawakami R. ⚽,
85', Woo S. ↓, Mochizuki S. ↑,
89', Sawakami R. ↓, Senoo N. ↑,
90', Inazumi D. ↓, Kokubun M. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Kawakami R. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Vanraure is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Osaka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vanraure won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vanraure won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Osaka - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.19%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanraure Hachinohe
Japan J3 League
16.08.25	Nagano Parceiro - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
26.07.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Gainare Tottori	3:2 ✺
19.07.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Gifu	5:1 ✺
05.07.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW
- FC Osaka
Japan J3 League
16.08.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Osaka	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Osaka - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Kagoshima United - Osaka	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Osaka - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Nagano Parceiro - Osaka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
12.04.25	Osaka - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:0
24.11.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Osaka	1:1
10.04.24	Osaka - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:0
29.07.23	Vanraure Hachinohe - Osaka	0:0
27.05.23	Osaka - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1

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