Match Info

1. Lig - Round 21

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Esenler Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Erokspor		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	4	Watch
	1.74	3.49	4.34	Watch
	1.7	3.9	4.42	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4
	1.8	3.65	4.17	Watch
	1.68	3.8	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)	3.64 ↑ (3.43)	4.21 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erokspor
52.8%

Draw
25.3%

Vanspor
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

25.5%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Erokspor - Vanspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Erokspor will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Cetin E. (G) 17. Korkmaz E. 15. Nzaba F. 14. Ulas O. 33. Alic E. 6. Jack R. 11. Faye M. 99. Beyaz O. 5. Okyar M. 89. Amilton 10. Kayode O.	25. Akbaba C. (G) 13. Oulare N. 22. Destici S. 6. Jevsenak Z. 35. Isciler B. 44. Secgin E. 41. Ozcan M. 10. Jefferson 45. Bars E. 7. Hostikka S. 19. Bikoue
Substitutes
77. Bilazer H. 7. Catakovic H. 97. Cavare D. 78. Isik E. 12. Kanga G. 8. Karaman A. 73. Lus B. 20. Niyaz R. 1. Tetik B. (G) 16. Yasar A.	18. Bilal H. 65. Bingol M. 53. Cavusoglu M. 1. Damlu A. (G) 4. Dikmen E. 76. Kara B. C. 73. Olmez S. (G) 77. Usta G. 82. Yildrim A.
Coaches
Ozkoylu O.	Korkmaz O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Beyaz O. 🟨,
61', Beyaz O. ↓, Kanga G. ↑,
61', Jefferson ↓, Kara B. C. ↑,
62', Hostikka S. ↓, Bingol M. ↑,
74', Isciler B. 🟨,
76', Faye M. ↓, Lus B. ↑,
76', Jack R. ↓, Niyaz R. ↑,
81', Kayode O. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
82', Bars E. ↓, Bilal H. ↑,
84', Okyar M. 🟨,
90+6', Destici S. ↓, Cavusoglu M. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 10).

Erokspor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vanspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Erokspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Erokspor is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Erokspor: Gedik E. (Suspended) Kahveci M. (Suspended)

There will not play in Vanspor: Genc F. C. (Suspended) Traore A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Vanspor: Xesc (Hernia)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Erokspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Erokspor	8	0	5	3	4:10	-6	5
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	8:17	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erokspor
Turkish First League
10.01.26	Adana Demirspor - Erokspor	0:5 ✺
27.12.25	Pendikspor - Erokspor	0:0 ✺
19.12.25	Erokspor - Sarıyer	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Keçiörengücü - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Erokspor - Sakaryaspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTTW
- Vanspor FK
Turkish First League
09.01.26	Vanspor - Boluspor	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Vanspor - Hatayspor	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	İstanbulspor - Vanspor	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Vanspor - Umraniyespor	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Manisa FK - Vanspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
17.08.25	Vanspor - Erokspor	1:0
Turkish Second League White Group
25.02.24	Erokspor - Vanspor	2:0
Turkish 3 Lig Play Offs
24.05.19	Erokspor - Vanspor	1:2
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
10.02.19	Vanspor - Erokspor	0:0
24.02.18	Erokspor - Vanspor	0:1

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