Match Info

1. Lig - Round 18

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Demirbas A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	İstanbulspor		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3	Watch
	2.1	3.25	2.9
	2.14	3.29	3.1
	2.14	3.85	3.02
	2.16	3.59	3.05	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.1
	2.18	3.25	3
	2.12	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.98)	3.4 ↓ (3.64)	3.02 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

İstanbulspor
42.8%

Draw
26.9%

Vanspor
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

25.5%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

24.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbulspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

İstanbulspor - Vanspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for İstanbulspor: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dogan I. (G) 21. Duhaney D. 14. Sahin D. 24. Uzunhan E. 2. Bahadir Y. 6. Vorobjovas M. 8. Temel V. 7. Sambissa D. 10. Loshaj F. (C) 66. Mamadou M. 77. Krstovski M.	25. Akbaba C. (G) 13. Oulare N. 53. Cavusoglu M. 6. Jevsenak Z. 65. Bingol M. 41. Ozcan M. 8. Traore A. 18. Bilal H. 10. Jefferson 45. Bars E. 19. Bikoue
Substitutes
33. Ay F. K. 30. Cham A. 83. Dayakli I. 52. Duymaz O. F. 40. Erdal I. A. 9. Gultekin E. 27. Koseoglu E. 70. Sahin C. 99. Sol M. 28. Tutar A. (G)	90. Coksu M. 1. Damlu A. (G) 22. Destici S. 73. Olmez S. (G) 44. Secgin E. 98. Tumen S. 77. Usta G. 7. Vlachomitros A. 82. Yildrim A.
Coaches
Kanbak B.	Korkmaz O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Bikoue ⚽, Jefferson (A),
33', Bilal H. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Krstovski M. ⚽, Loshaj F. (A),
39', Bilal H. ↓, Secgin E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 1 - 2, Bikoue ⚽, Secgin E. (A),
65', Krstovski M. ↓, Sol M. ↑,
66', Ozcan M. 🟨,
76', Mamadou M. ↓, Gultekin E. ↑,
76', Temel V. ↓, Duymaz O. F. ↑,
80', Bingol M. ↓, Destici S. ↑,
81', 1 - 3, Bikoue ⚽, Bars E. (A),
89', Sambissa D. ↓, Sahin C. ↑,
90', Akbaba C. 🟨,
90+2', Bars E. ↓, Yildrim A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 14).

İstanbulspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vanspor has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

İstanbulspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

İstanbulspor might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in İstanbulspor: Aydin D. (Suspended) Kabadayi K. (Suspended) Ologo Inainfe M. (Broken Leg) Ozer Y. (Suspended) Sarialioglu E. (Suspended) Tultak F. (Suspended) Vardar B. (Illness) Yilmaz A. S. (Suspended)

There will not play in Vanspor: Destici S. (Knee Injury) Dikmen E. (Muscle Injury) Genc F. C. (Suspended) Kesici T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in İstanbulspor: Aksu D. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish Cup
17.12.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish First League
13.12.25	Sarıyer - İstanbulspor	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	İstanbulspor - Sivasspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	İstanbulspor - Sarıyer	6:0 ✺
Turkish First League
29.11.25	Erzurumspor - İstanbulspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWWWL
- Vanspor FK
Turkish First League
14.12.25	Vanspor - Umraniyespor	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Manisa FK - Vanspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Trabzonspor - Vanspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish First League
29.11.25	Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Vanspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Upcoming Matches