The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varesina 39.6%
Draw 27.9%
Breno 32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
27.2%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Varesina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Breno have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breno than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, ⚽,
75', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
Varesina is Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out )
Breno is Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varesina won 1.
Varesina has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Breno's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Breno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Varesina won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Varesina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Varesina - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.56%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Breno - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.58%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.