Match Info

PORTUGAL: TAÇA DE PORTUGAL - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 January 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio do Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)

Referee: Bessa J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Vizela		Arouca

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.2
	2.95	3	2.25	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.57	3.22	2.25
	3.57	3.22	2.26
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3.33	3.34	2.22	Watch
	3.15	3.25	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.22)	3.2 ↓ (3.35)	2.24 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vizela
28.8%

Draw
29.3%

Arouca
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.6%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

28.8%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vizela's form might have worsened.

Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arouca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vizela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arouca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	30.8%	38.5%

Vizela - Arouca Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Arouca will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruberto F. (G) 2. Oliveira H. 25. Escoval R. 4. Jota Goncalves 6. Matheus Pereira 22. Busnic A. 18. Awudu Abdul 8. Mendez A. (C) 90. Nascimento D. 29. Messias 17. Lacava M.	16. Thiago (G) 22. Milovanov B. 4. Montero F. 44. Galovic N. (C) 28. Esgaio T. 2. Sylla M. 8. Kouassi E. 9. Trezza A. 89. Santos Carvalho P. 23. Cristo 18. Michel B.
Substitutes
5. Anderson Jesus 97. Buntic F. (G) 12. Bustamante R. 82. Costa Silva T. 99. Essende S. 19. Lebedenko O. 20. Samu . Soro A. 3. Wilson Valdez B. R.	30. Bukia A. 10. Jason 7. Lawal Y. 19. Mujica R. 11. Puche 13. Rocha M. 5. Simao D. 1. Valido J. (G) 17. Yaw M.
Coaches
de la Barrera R.	Sousa D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vizela won 2.

Vizela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arouca is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vizela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Vizela won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Vizela won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Liga Portugal
06.01.24	Estrela da Amadora - Vizela	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Vizela - Moreirense	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Rio Ave - Vizela	1:1 ✺
08.12.23	Vizela - Braga	1:3 ✺
01.12.23	Chaves - Vizela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTTLL
- FC Arouca
Liga Portugal
06.01.24	Arouca - Benfica	0:3 ✺
28.12.23	Estrela da Amadora - Arouca	1:4 ✺
16.12.23	Arouca - Gil Vicente	3:0 ✺
10.12.23	Arouca - Rio Ave	2:2 ✺
03.12.23	Boavista - Arouca	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
20.08.23	Vizela - Arouca	2:2
23.04.23	Arouca - Vizela	1:0
05.11.22	Vizela - Arouca	0:1
22.04.22	Vizela - Arouca	2:1
13.12.21	Arouca - Vizela	1:4
Portuguese Liga 2
21.03.21	Vizela - Arouca	1:1
01.11.20	Arouca - Vizela	2:1

Upcoming Matches