Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 19

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday


	Vasco da Gama U20		Grêmio U20

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.75	4.33
	1.5	4.15	4.95
	1.51	4.35	5.7
	1.48	4.15	5.48
	1.64	3.78	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.7)	4.04 ↑ (3.9)	4.82 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama U20
58.7%

Draw
22.5%

Grêmio U20
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

23.2%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

22.2%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama U20's performance.

Grêmio U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio U20 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Vasco da Gama U20 - Grêmio U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, ⚽,
81', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).

Vasco U20 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Grêmio U20 is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vasco U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vasco U20 is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vasco U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama U20
Brasileiro U20
16.07.25	Juventude U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:1 ✺
09.07.25	Cuiabá U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:1 ✺
02.07.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	Corinthians U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:1 ✺
17.06.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Fluminense U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLTW
- Grêmio RS U20
Brazilian Gaucho U20
19.07.25	Internacional U20 - Grêmio U20	1:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
16.07.25	Grêmio U20 - Cuiabá U20	2:4 ✺
Brazilian Gaucho U20
12.07.25	Grêmio U20 - Internacional U20	1:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
09.07.25	Grêmio U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Grêmio U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
30.06.22	Grêmio U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:1
04.09.21	Grêmio U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:3
08.11.20	Vasco da Gama U20 - Grêmio U20	1:2
Brazilian Copinha
18.01.20	Vasco da Gama U20 - Grêmio U20	1:2 penalties
Brasileiro U20
04.07.19	Grêmio U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:2

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