Match Info

J2 League - Round 37

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Iwaki		Renofa Yamaguchi

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.95	Watch
	2.18	3.25	3.05	Watch
	2.25	3.44	3.01
	2.24	3.44	3.01	Watch
	2.3	3.3	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 (2.24)	3.35 ↓ (3.44)	3.01 (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
41.4%

Draw
27.7%

Renofa Yamaguchi
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

27.2%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

25.8%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Iwaki - Renofa Yamaguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Iwaki will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Iwaki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sasaki M. (G) 2. Ishida Y. 4. Dohana K. 35. Fukaminato S. 15. Kase N. 8. Shibata S. 32. Igarashi S. 7. Ishiwatari N. 24. Yamashita Y. 16. Kato T. 28. Hyun W.	1. Marsman N. (G) 4. Matsuda K. 5. Yoshioka K. 76. Isotani S. 27. Ozawa R. 17. Tanabe K. 55. Okaniwa S. 8. Noyori K. 45. Yamamoto O. 20. Kawano K. 9. Arita R.
Substitutes
22. Ikoma J. 39. Joo H. (G) 19. Onishi Y. 26. Sakamoto I. 5. Shirai H. 30. Shota K. 25. Unoki F. 17. Yamada Y. 27. Yamanaka A.	34. Furukawa D. 28. Kobayashi S. 7. Misawa N. 13. Miyayoshi T. 36. Nishido H. 30. Okuyama Y. 14. Shimodo R. 26. Taguchi J. (G) 29. Wakasa Y.
Coaches
Tamura Y.	Nakayama G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Tanabe K. 🟨,
15', Shibata S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kawano K. ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
64', Shibata S. ↓, Onishi Y. ↑,
66', Yamamoto O. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
70', Kase N. ↓, Yamanaka A. ↑,
76', Okaniwa S. ↓, Nishido H. ↑,
76', Noyori K. ↓, Misawa N. ↑,
86', Arita R. ↓, Miyayoshi T. ↑,
87', Hyun W. ↓, Sakamoto I. ↑,
87', Ishiwatari N. ↓, Shota K. ↑,
89', Sakamoto I. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Iwaki is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Renofa Yamaguchi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Iwaki could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwaki won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Iwaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
09.11.25	Blaublitz Akita - Iwaki	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Iwaki - Fujieda MYFC	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Tokushima Vortis - Iwaki	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Iwaki - Ehime	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Iwaki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW
- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
09.11.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kataller Toyama	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Imabari - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Sagan Tosu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
15.06.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Iwaki	2:2
22.06.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Iwaki	0:3
12.05.24	Iwaki - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2
15.07.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Iwaki	0:0
04.03.23	Iwaki - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1

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