Match Info

J2 League - Round 33

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Iwaki		Ehime

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.15	5.5
	1.54	4.34	6.02
	1.51	4.27	5.81	Watch
	1.5	4.15	5.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.48)	4.22 ↓ (4.33)	5.72 ↓ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
61.7%

Draw
22%

Ehime
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

21.4%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

20.9%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Ehime has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Iwaki - Ehime Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Iwaki will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Ehime will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Iwaki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sasaki M. (G) 2. Ishida Y. 4. Dohana K. 35. Fukaminato S. 8. Shibata S. 15. Kase N. 7. Ishiwatari N. 24. Yamashita Y. 32. Igarashi S. 38. Kumata N. 16. Kato T.	36. Tsuji S. (G) 19. Kuroishi T. 25. Yoshida H. 37. Ishio R. 44. Moriyama K. 28. Maeda R. 8. Fukazawa Y. 24. Koda H. 13. Horigome Y. 7. Soneda Y. 17. Murakami Y.
Substitutes
22. Ikoma J. 39. Joo H. (G) 28. Kim Hyun-woo 19. Onishi Y. 5. Shirai H. 30. Shota K. 14. Yamaguchi D. 27. Yamanaka A.	90. Arthur Viana 32. Fujimoto Y. 16. Hosoya K. 3. Marcel Scalese 10. Sato R. 14. Tanimoto S. 1. Tokushige K. (G) 15. Tsuruno R. 4. Yamahara K.
Coaches
Tamura Y.	Aono S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Ishiwatari N. ⚽, Shibata S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kumata N. ↓, Kim Hyun-woo ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Soneda Y. ⚽, Horigome Y. (A),
58', Ishiwatari N. 🟨,
62', Murakami Y. ↓, Fujimoto Y. ↑,
64', Kase N. ↓, Yamanaka A. ↑,
71', Soneda Y. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Dohana K. ⚽, Yamashita Y. (A),
81', Kato T. ↓, Yamaguchi D. ↑,
81', Ishiwatari N. ↓, Onishi Y. ↑,
82', Koda H. ↓, Tsuruno R. ↑,
82', Fukazawa Y. ↓, Tanimoto S. ↑,
82', Horigome Y. ↓, Arthur Viana ↑,
90', Shibata S. ↓, Shota K. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Iwaki is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ehime is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Iwaki is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwaki won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Iwaki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
05.10.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Iwaki	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Iwaki - Mito HollyHock	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki	1:5 ✺
30.08.25	Imabari - Iwaki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLTWW
- Ehime FC
Japan J2 League
05.10.25	Ehime - Mito HollyHock	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Oita Trinita - Ehime	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Ehime - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Blaublitz Akita - Ehime	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Ehime - Vegalta Sendai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
06.05.25	Ehime - Iwaki	1:1
10.08.24	Iwaki - Ehime	2:1
06.05.24	Ehime - Iwaki	0:0
Japan J3 League
23.10.22	Iwaki - Ehime	2:1
27.03.22	Ehime - Iwaki	1:2

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