Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 6

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano (Rio Claro)

Referee: Muniz dos Santos D. C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping
Usa	Fanatiz


	Velo Clube		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.3
	3.05	2.95	2.26
	3.28	3.15	2.37
	3.14	3.21	2.3	Watch
	3	3	2.25
	3.11	3.18	2.24
	3.05	2.95	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.7)	3.09 ↓ (3.4)	2.29 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velo Clube
29.7%

Draw
29.9%

Mirassol
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

27.6%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velo Clube has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mirassol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Velo Clube - Mirassol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dalton (G) 3. Julio Vaz 5. Marcelo Augusto 4. Mancha 2. Yuri Ferraz 7. Pedro Favela 8. Leo Baiano 6. Leo Campos 10. Felipinho 11. Jefferson Nem 9. Daniel Amorim	23. Alex Muralha (G) 20. Daniel Borges 3. Jemmes 33. Alan Empereur 37. Zeca 21. Jose Aldo 8. Danielzinho (C) 29. Clayson 13. Diego Goncalves 17. Guilherme Pato 7. Matheus Davo
Substitutes
22. Caio Bolonhin (G) 15. Carlos Manuel 21. Cauari 14. Luan Sales 19. Lucas Duni 12. Pablo (G) 17. Pedro Cacho 16. Rennan Siqueira 20. Sillas 18. Vinicius Leite	10. Chico Kim 14. David Braz 27. Gabriel 50. Gustavo Lacerda (G) 77. Iury Castilho 34. Joao Victor 9. Leo Gamalho 19. Lucas Ramon 11. Negueba 25. Neto Moura 6. Reinaldo 90. Thomazella (G)
Coaches
Guilherme Alves	Eduardo Barroca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Alan Empereur 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Matheus Davo ⚽, Jose Aldo (A),
68', Julio Vaz ↓, Vinicius Leite ↑,
68', Felipinho ↓, Sillas ↑,
72', Danielzinho ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
72', Diego Goncalves ↓, Neto Moura ↑,
74', Leo Baiano 🟨,
78', Clayson ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
78', Matheus Davo ↓, Leo Gamalho ↑,
85', Leo Baiano ↓, Lucas Duni ↑,
86', Guilherme Pato ↓, Lucas Ramon ↑,
88', Pedro Favela ↓, Cauari ↑,
90+3', Iury Castilho 🟨,

Preview

Velo Clube is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mirassol is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Velo Clube could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mirassol is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Velo Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.01.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Velo Clube	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Velo Clube - Santos	2:1 ✺
22.01.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Velo Clube	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Corinthians - Velo Clube	2:1 ✺
15.01.25	Velo Clube - EC Noroeste	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWLLL
- Mirassol
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
29.01.25	Mirassol - Guarani	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Mirassol - Portuguesa	2:1 ✺
23.01.25	São Bernardo - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Mirassol - Água Santa	6:0 ✺
16.01.25	Santos - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWL

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