Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 3

Date: 22 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Referee: Batista E. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Fanatiz


	Ponte Preta		Portuguesa

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.6	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.4
	2.2	3	3.5
	2.22	3.1	3.59
	2.22	2.99	3.56	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.4
	2.16	3.06	3.42
	2.2	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.85)	3.02 ↓ (3.3)	3.5 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
42.3%

Draw
30.9%

Portuguesa
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

27.8%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponte Preta's form might have worsened.

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Ponte Preta - Portuguesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Diogo Silva (G) 4. Saimon 18. Emerson Santos (C) 14. Danilo Barcelos 2. Maguinho 8. Dudu 55. Leo Indio 37. Serginho 15. Artur 7. Jean Dias 17. Pedro Vilhena	1. Rafael Santos (C) 2. Alex Silva 3. Gustavo Henrique 4. Alex Nascimento 6. Lucas Hipolito 8. Hudson 5. Fernando Henrique 10. Cristiano 11. Daniel Junior 9. Henrique Almeida 19. Maceio
Substitutes
77. Bruno Lopes 13. Castro 90. Darnlei 10. Elvis 29. Everton Brito 27. Luiz Felipe 28. Pacheco 1. Pedro Rocha (G) 11. Renato 20. Vasconcelos J. 31. Victor Andrade	18. Barba 12. Bruno (G) 13. Eduardo Biazus 17. Gustavo Talles 24. Iago Dias 7. Jaja 14. Mauricio 16. Pedro Testa 20. Portuga G. 21. Renan 23. Rildo 15. Taua
Coaches
Alberto Valentim	Cauan Almeida

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Saimon 🟨,
29', Alex Nascimento 🟥,
31', Henrique Almeida ↓, Mauricio ↑,
39', Dudu 🟨,
45+8', Maceio 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dudu ↓, Bruno Lopes ↑,
46', Artur ↓, Elvis ↑,
46', Daniel Junior ↓, Taua ↑,
64', Saimon ↓, Darnlei ↑,
67', Darnlei 🟨,
71', Serginho ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
73', Hudson ↓, Pedro Testa ↑,
74', Fernando Henrique ↓, Eduardo Biazus ↑,
82', Jean Dias ↓, Renato ↑,
82', Cristiano ↓, Renan ↑,
90+2', Emerson Santos 🟨,
90+5', Alex Silva 🟨,
90+6', Rafael Santos 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 2.

Ponte Preta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ponte Preta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.01.25	Ponte Preta - Santos	1:1 ✺
15.01.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.11.24	Avaí - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	Ponte Preta - Sport Recife	0:4 ✺
11.11.24	Vila Nova - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWLLL
- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
18.01.25	Portuguesa - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2 ✺
15.01.25	Palmeiras - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
28.09.24	Votuporanguense - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Portuguesa - Votuporanguense	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Piracicaba - Portuguesa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
31.01.24	Portuguesa - Ponte Preta	0:2
01.02.15	Ponte Preta - Portuguesa	2:3
Brazilian Serie B
17.10.14	Portuguesa - Ponte Preta	0:3
15.07.14	Ponte Preta - Portuguesa	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
01.12.13	Ponte Preta - Portuguesa	0:2
04.09.13	Portuguesa - Ponte Preta	2:1
02.12.12	Portuguesa - Ponte Preta	0:0

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