Match Info

Serie A - Round 1

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Austria	DAZN, Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 6
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN 2, DAZN Italia
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola
Malta	TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 5, Arena Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Venezia		Lecce

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.50	4.50
	1.82	3.60	4.33
	1.82	3.30	4.50	Watch
	1.85	3.56	4.94
	2.01	3.24	4.14	Watch
	1.80	3.50	4.90
	1.86	3.61	4.64
	1.83	3.65	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.35)	3.5 ↑ (3.22)	4.58 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
51.7%

Draw
27.4%

Lecce
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.4%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Venezia's performance.

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lecce might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.3%	33.3%	7.4%

Venezia - Lecce Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Lecce will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Venezia (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 17. Bella-Kotchap A. 4. Franjic B. 18. Hainaut A. 71. Perez K. 6. Busio G. (C) 26. Basic T. 14. Rendall T. 10. Yeboah J. 45. Adams A.	30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 4. Gaspar K. 5. Siebert J. 25. Gallo A. 29. Coulibaly L. 28. Gorter O. 79. Ngom O. 50. Pierotti S. 69. Geubbels W. 11. Ndri K.
Substitutes
30. Dagasso M. 8. Fanne L. 11. Farji M. 95. Gomes A. 25. Halhal R. 5. Haps R. 21. Helgason T. J. 29. Lauberbach L. 56. Lisman K. 96. Montipo L. (G) 90. Okoro A. 55. Panada S. 7. Rrahmani A. 20. Sagrado R. 19. Sohm S.	1. Bleve M. (G) 22. Esteban P. 8. Fofana S. 16. Gandelman O. 34. Laerke H. 14. Maleh Y. 3. Ndaba C. 33. Penev P. (G) 9. Stulic N. 44. Tiago Gabriel
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Gaspar K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Gallo A. ↓, Ndaba C. ↑,
46', 0 - 1, Gorter O. ⚽, Coulibaly L. (A),
59', Ngom O. 🟨,
61', Gorter O. ↓, Maleh Y. ↑,
64', Rendall T. ↓, Haps R. ↑,
70', Perez K. ↓, Dagasso M. ↑,
71', Veiga D. 🟨,
74', Ndri K. ↓, Tiago Gabriel ↑,
74', Geubbels W. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
78', Dagasso M. 🟨,
80', 0 - 2, Tiago Gabriel ⚽,
85', Hainaut A. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
85', Basic T. ↓, Rrahmani A. ↑,
90+1', Pierotti S. ↓, Gandelman O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 1.

Venezia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Venezia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Venezia might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Venezia: Adorante A. (Hernia) Sverko M. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Lecce: Banda L. (Inactive) Berisha M. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Venezia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Venezia: 0.14% Lecce: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5:10	-5	6
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4:13	-9	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Coppa Italia
15.08.26	Venezia - Modena	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.26	Brest - Venezia	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Saint-Étienne - Venezia	4:3 ✺
27.07.26	Galatasaray - Venezia	0:3 ✺
23.07.26	Venezia - Vis Pesaro	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTLWW
- US Lecce
Coppa Italia
17.08.26	Palermo - Lecce	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Lecce - Istra 1961	2:2 ✺
22.07.26	Lecce - Politehnica Timișoara	0:1 ✺
19.07.26	Szombathelyi Haladas - Lecce	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
24.05.26	Lecce - Genoa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
06.04.25	Lecce - Venezia	1:1
25.11.24	Venezia - Lecce	0:1
Italian Serie B
20.05.21	Lecce - Venezia	1:1
17.05.21	Venezia - Lecce	1:0
16.03.21	Venezia - Lecce	2:3
05.12.20	Lecce - Venezia	2:2
11.02.19	Venezia - Lecce	1:1

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