Match Info

Coppa Italia - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)

Referee: Arena A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 1
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Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSPORTS+ Plus


	Palermo		Lecce

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.20	3.25	3.00
	2.25	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.29	3.38	3.37
	2.22	3.32	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.2
	2.24	3.22	3.16
	2.16	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.63)	3.27 ↑ (3.19)	3.16 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
42%

Draw
28.5%

Lecce
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.1%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palermo's performance.

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lecce might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Palermo - Lecce Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Lecce will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Joronen J. (G) 27. Pierozzi N. 29. Peda P. 32. Ceccaroni P. 3. Augello T. 8. Segre J. (C) 10. Ranocchia F. 9. Vavassori D. 5. Palumbo A. 17. Johnsen D. 20. Pohjanpalo J.	30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 4. Gaspar K. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 14. Maleh Y. 79. Ngom O. 50. Pierotti S. 29. Coulibaly L. 11. Ndri K. 69. Geubbels W.
Substitutes
78. Balsamo F. 13. Bani M. 93. Barba F. 33. Bozzolan A. 84. Cassandro T. 24. Estevez N. 14. Fortin M. (G) 23. Hernani 21. Le Douaron J. 12. Nespola M. (G) 7. Strefezza G.	22. Esteban P. 8. Fofana S. 16. Gandelman O. 28. Gorter O. 18. Jean G. 77. Kaba M. 34. Laerke H. 12. Lupo C. (G) 3. Ndaba C. 33. Penev P. (G) 9. Stulic N.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Joronen J. ↓, Fortin M. ↑,
15', 1 - 0, Vavassori D. ⚽, Peda P. (A),
20', Palumbo A. 🟨,
35', Coulibaly L. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Johnsen D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
46', Maleh Y. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
46', Palumbo A. ↓, Hernani ↑,
62', Johnsen D. ↓, Strefezza G. ↑,
73', Pierotti S. ↓, Laerke H. ↑,
74', Ngom O. ↓, Gorter O. ↑,
77', Ranocchia F. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
84', Geubbels W. ↓, Esteban P. ↑,
88', Coulibaly L. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Palermo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Palermo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Palermo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Club Friendly
11.08.26	Juventus - Palermo	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Melbourne City - Palermo	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Palermo - Iraklis	1:1 ✺
22.07.26	Palermo - Paradiso	7:0 ✺
18.07.26	Ingolstadt - Palermo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWTWL
- US Lecce
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Lecce - Istra 1961	2:2 ✺
22.07.26	Lecce - Politehnica Timișoara	0:1 ✺
19.07.26	Szombathelyi Haladas - Lecce	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
24.05.26	Lecce - Genoa	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Sassuolo - Lecce	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
02.03.19	Palermo - Lecce	2:1
21.10.18	Lecce - Palermo	1:2
Italian Serie A
18.03.12	Lecce - Palermo	1:1

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