Match Info

J2/J3 League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Yurtec Stadium Sendai (Sendai)


	Vegalta Sendai		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.81	3.3	4.23
	1.84	3.4	4.32	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.82	3.4	4.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.06)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	4.26 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vegalta Sendai
50.9%

Draw
27.4%

Ventforet Kofu
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.3%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

26.9%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vegalta Sendai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vegalta Sendai's performance.

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ventforet Kofu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vegalta Sendai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ventforet Kofu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vegalta Sendai - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Users Predictions: Vegalta Sendai will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Hayashi A. (G) 3. Okuyama M. 5. Sugata M. 44. Inoue S. 2. Igarashi S. 10. Kamada H. 42. Ishii H. 8. Takeda H. 7. Araki S. 20. Nakada Y. 27. Iwabuchi H.	33. Yamauchi K. (G) 20. Endo H. 2. Inoue M. 6. Kobayashi I. 24. Sato K. 27. Takei S. 7. Araki S. 26. Sato K. 8. Yasuda K. 14. Fujii K. 32. Ota R.
Substitutes
34. Furuya A. 55. Han Ho-gang 1. Hotta D. (G) 19. Mateus Moraes 6. Matsui R. 15. Minami S. 37. Sugiyama Y. 40. Yasuno T. 26. Yokoyama S.	97. Higashi J. (G) 25. Hiratsuka Y. 22. Koide Y. 11. Kumakura K. 96. Kurokawa A. 10. Naito Y. 3. Nozawa R. 29. Oshima K. 4. Yamamoto H.
Coaches
Moriyama Y.	Shibuya H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Takei S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Sugata M. ⚽,
59', Fujii K. ↓, Naito Y. ↑,
59', Sato K. ↓, Oshima K. ↑,
71', Araki S. ↓, Matsui R. ↑,
79', Iwabuchi H. 🟨,
79', Nakada Y. ↓, Yasuno T. ↑,
79', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Furuya A. ↑,
80', Takei S. ↓, Kurokawa A. ↑,
85', Sato K. ↓, Kumakura K. ↑,
85', Kobayashi I. ↓, Koide Y. ↑,
88', Inoue S. ↓, Mateus Moraes ↑,
88', Ishii H. ↓, Minami S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sendai won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Sendai is considered a favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sendai won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sendai won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Vegalta Sendai - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.1%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Ventforet Kofu - the odds 3.37 are the expected chance of winning is 27.57%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 J3 League
23.05.26	Vegalta Sendai - Yokohama FC	0:3 ✺
16.05.26	Shonan Bellmare - Vegalta Sendai	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Vegalta Sendai	1:2 penalties ✺
06.05.26	Vegalta Sendai - Tochigi	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Vegalta Sendai - Blaublitz Akita	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWL
- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 J3 League
23.05.26	Nagano Parceiro - Ventforet Kofu	1:0 penalties ✺
16.05.26	Ventforet Kofu - Gifu	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
06.05.26	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
22.06.25	Vegalta Sendai - Ventforet Kofu	0:0
29.04.25	Ventforet Kofu - Vegalta Sendai	1:2
21.09.24	Vegalta Sendai - Ventforet Kofu	2:2
08.06.24	Ventforet Kofu - Vegalta Sendai	1:1
03.09.23	Vegalta Sendai - Ventforet Kofu	0:0
08.04.23	Ventforet Kofu - Vegalta Sendai	0:3
06.07.22	Vegalta Sendai - Ventforet Kofu	3:0

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