Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, CA)


	Ventura County		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.05	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3	3.6	2.12
	2.96	3.73	2.07	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.15
	3.03	3.66	2.14	Watch
	3	3.6	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.69)	3.53 ↓ (3.83)	2.1 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventura County
30.8%

Draw
25.8%

El Paso Locomotive
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

23.9%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ventura County's performance.

El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Paso Locomotive might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Ventura County - El Paso Locomotive Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Marcinkowski J. (G) 55. Bucknor J. 64. Pepe 51. Essengue A. 66. Tsakiris N. 47. Kocevski J. 65. Musto T. 61. Karani S. 49. Vanney D. 78. Muller L. 63. Rindov C.	1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 21. Twumasi K. 15. Dollenmayer N. 5. Tony Alfaro 18. Quezada A. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 30. Coronado R. 12. Ruiz R. 16. Gabriel Torres 20. Carter D. 11. Moshobane T.
Substitutes
87. Arnold G. 74. El-Jindaoui N. 59. Gonzalez G. 73. Martinez E. 91. Pratt O. (G) 95. Preston E. 60. Saribekyan L.	3. Ackwei W. 14. Avila R. 13. Cabrera A. 19. Canales M. (G) 28. Mora O. 31. Rodriguez E. 66. Vazquez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', Tony Alfaro 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Carter D. ⚽, Tony Alfaro (A),
29', 0 - 2, Tony Alfaro ⚽,
31', Bucknor J. 🟨,
36', Bucknor J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 3, Cabrera A. ⚽, Avila R. (A),

Preview

Recent matches El Paso is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ventura County could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ventura County FC
MLS Next Pro
26.03.25	Ventura County - Houston Dynamo 2	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
18.03.25	Ventura County - Laguna United	7:0 ✺
MLS Next Pro
14.03.25	Los Angeles 2 - Ventura County	3:1 ✺
07.03.25	Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance	3:2 ✺
20.10.24	Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWL
- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
29.03.25	Hartford Athletic - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
19.03.25	El Paso Locomotive - Harpos	5:1 ✺
USL Championship
15.03.25	El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising	4:4 ✺
08.03.25	El Paso Locomotive - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWTT

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