The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Paso Locomotive 43.4%
Draw 26.4%
Phoenix Rising 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
26.1%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
27.2%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 18. Quezada A. 2. Cardona N. 21. Twumasi K. 93. Tony Alfaro 16. Gabriel Torres 13. Avila R. 19. Mendez A. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 30. Coronado R. 14. Rubin R.
1. Rakovsky P. (G) 2. Smith C. 4. Mar Boye P. (C) 17. JP Scearce 87. Flores D. 8. Gomez D. 13. Moursou J. 7. Sacko I. 37. Rivera G. 20. Biasi L. 11. Studenhofft G.
Substitutes
9. Abitia D. 23. Diaz G. 5. Gomez D. 28. Mora O. 25. Ortiz A. 78. Rede X. 99. Romero A. (G) 12. Ruiz R.
28. Arase K. 23. Badji D. 14. Odunze C. (G) 24. Pelayo A. 44. Ping J. 91. Ramirez E. 19. Rivera D. 6. Vukovic A.
Coaches
Gonzalez J.
Kah P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Rivera G. 🟨,
26', Biasi L. 🟨,
35', JP Scearce 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 0, Mendez A. ⚽, Rubin R. (A),
59', Quezada A. 🟨,
67', Calvillo E. 🟨,
69', Gomez D. ↓, Pelayo A. ↑,
69', Flores D. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, JP Scearce ⚽, Rivera D. (A),
71', Quezada A. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
71', Avila R. ↓, Mora O. ↑,
83', Studenhofft G. ↓, Arase K. ↑,
83', Rivera G. ↓, Badji D. ↑,
88', Biasi L. ↓, Vukovic A. ↑,
88', Coronado R. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
88', Calvillo E. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
90+1', Rubin R. ↓, Abitia D. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 0.
Recent form of El Paso has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Phoenix Rising has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
El Paso could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 1.3:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.6:1.9).