Match Info

PANAMA: LPF - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Cancha de fútbol de Atalaya (San Miguelito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	Veraguas		Árabe Unido

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.9	2.35
	2.75	2.9	2.55
	3.04	2.91	2.42
	2.82	2.87	2.76	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.45
	2.62	3.13	2.72
	2.75	2.9	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.42)	2.98 ↓ (3.25)	2.54 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Veraguas
32.9%

Draw
30.9%

Árabe Unido
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

28.8%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

29.1%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Veraguas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Veraguas's form might have worsened.

Árabe Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veraguas than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Veraguas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Árabe Unido than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Veraguas - Árabe Unido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Toribio E. (G) 6. Emmons J. 2. Bernal D. 33. Batista J. 4. Abrego J. 5. Figueroa J. (C) 25. Villarreal L. 7. Bonilla K. 15. Hernandez S. 9. Isidoro 72. Herrera J.	12. Vargas J. (G) 3. Fori D. (C) 5. Dickens J. 6. Breary M. 14. Triana L. 11. Palacios A. 59. Collymore R. 19. Harrison J. 9. Moreno S. 16. Villarreal O. 26. Vargas D.
Substitutes
8. Angulo J. 21. Baruco R. 17. Cabrera W. 88. de Gracia K. 22. Dussan A. (G) 20. Espinoza E. 28. Montenegro R. 10. Pinzon A. 11. Sagel J. 29. Valencia A.	29. Cordoba F. 7. Corpas A. 25. D'Angelo J. 24. Emanuel R. 30. Murillo S. 1. Polo R. (G) 28. Rouse G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Villarreal L. ↓, Cabrera W. ↑,
23', Triana L. 🟨,
28', Cabrera W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hernandez S. ↓, Sagel J. ↑,
46', Palacios A. ↓, Corpas A. ↑,
47', Dickens J. 🟨,
49', 0 - 1, Moreno S. ⚽,
64', Figueroa J. ↓, Baruco R. ↑,
64', Batista J. ↓, Pinzon A. ↑,
65', Fori D. 🟨,
67', Collymore R. ↓, Rouse G. ↑,
67', Moreno S. ↓, Murillo S. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Murillo S. ⚽,
72', Isidoro ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
75', 🟨,
80', Rouse G. 🟨,
82', Emmons J. 🟨,
86', Vargas D. ↓, Emanuel R. ↑,
90', Triana L. ↓, D'Angelo J. ↑,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Veraguas won 1.

Recent matches Veraguas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Árabe Unido is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Árabe Unido could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Veraguas won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:10 (average 1.2:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Veraguas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Veraguas CD
Liga Panamena de Futbol
07.03.25	Veraguas - Alianza Panama	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Sporting San Miguelito - Veraguas	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Plaza Amador - Veraguas	3:1 ✺
17.02.25	Veraguas - San Francisco	0:0 ✺
10.02.25	Veraguas - Independiente de la Chorrera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTLTL
- Árabe Unido
Liga Panamena de Futbol
09.03.25	UMECIT - Árabe Unido	0:1 ✺
27.02.25	Árabe Unido - Herrera	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Deportivo Universitario - Árabe Unido	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Potros del Este - Árabe Unido	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Árabe Unido - Sporting San Miguelito	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
31.08.24	Árabe Unido - Veraguas	4:1
02.03.24	Veraguas - Árabe Unido	3:2
18.09.22	Veraguas - Árabe Unido	0:1
03.04.22	Árabe Unido - Veraguas	0:0
18.09.21	Árabe Unido - Veraguas	0:0
24.03.21	Veraguas - Árabe Unido	3:3

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