The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting San Miguelito 47.5%
Draw 27%
Veraguas 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
25.3%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.2%
24.5%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting San Miguelito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting San Miguelito's form might have worsened.
Veraguas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting San Miguelito than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting San Miguelito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Veraguas than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Sporting San Miguelito - Veraguas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Calderon J. (G) 22. Ramirez S. 31. Cummings H. 2. Caicedo J. 27. Tello Valor R. 17. Valencia A. 83. Richards M. 23. Hurtado H. 28. Barria J. 9. de Leon R. 19. Avila M.
1. Toribio E. (G) 4. Mancilla C. 16. Gondola J. 26. Batista J. 5. Figueroa J. 35. Wynter S. 7. Camargo M. 23. Lopez E. 18. de Gracia K. 9. Torres G. (C) 15. Zuniga N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Valencia A. ⚽,
30', Caicedo J. 🟥,
34', Richards M. ↓, Alba O. ↑,
45+4', 2 - 0, Tello Valor R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Figueroa J. ↓, Montenegro R. ↑,
46', de Gracia K. ↓, Villarreal L. ↑,
46', Batista J. ↓, Sagel J. ↑,
46', Gondola J. ↓, Emmons J. ↑,
51', Montenegro R. 🟨,
51', Barria J. 🟨,
53', Valencia A. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Torres G. ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Lopez E. ⚽,
58', Valencia A. 🟥,
67', Camargo M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
82', 2 - 3, Zuniga N. ⚽,
83', de Leon R. ↓, Bethancourt A. ↑,
84', Barria J. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
85', Bethancourt A. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Miguelito won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
San Miguelito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, San Miguelito has had a series of away games.
San Miguelito is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Miguelito won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, San Miguelito won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Veraguas - the odds 4.24 are the expected chance of winning is 21.33%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Calderon J. (G) 
Caicedo J. 
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