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Current Win Probability
Veraguas 44.7%
Draw 28.7%
UMECIT 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
27.6%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
28%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Veraguas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Veraguas's performance.
UMECIT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UMECIT might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Veraguas than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Veraguas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UMECIT than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UMECIT could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Veraguas - UMECIT Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Toribio E. (G) 4. Mancilla C. 6. Emmons J. 21. Ceballos E. 12. Torres L. 15. Zuniga N. 5. Figueroa J. 7. Camargo M. 23. Lopez E. 25. Villarreal L. 9. Torres G.
1. Almengor D. (G) 6. Fuentes J. 22. Palmezano A. 23. Chanis E. 26. Araya J. 62. Casazola M. 14. Ford R. 21. Almanza O. 29. Beccera O. 7. Peralta H. 48. Moran C.
Substitutes
30. Araya B. (G) 18. de Gracia K. . Diego J. 16. Gondola J. 13. Gonzalez J. 28. Montenegro R. 10. Pinzon A. 20. Rodriguez A. 11. Sagel J. 35. Wynter S.
8. Batista R. . De Leon M. 3. Delgado J. 5. Edghill V. 17. Edwards A. 10. Gomez E. 30. Hinojosa C. (G) 9. Murillo J. 11. Rodriguez E. 19. Saldana A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Casazola M. 🟨,
27', Zuniga N. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Lopez E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Fuentes J. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
51', Gomez E. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Beccera O. ⚽,
58', Zuniga N. 🟨,
58', Palmezano A. 🟨,
64', Moran C. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Peralta H. ⚽,
66', Torres G. ↓, Sagel J. ↑,
72', Rodriguez E. 🟨,
74', Villarreal L. ↓, Montenegro R. ↑,
75', Figueroa J. ↓, de Gracia K. ↑,
76', Beccera O. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
77', Peralta H. ↓, Saldana A. ↑,
81', 1 - 3, Saldana A. ⚽,
86', 1 - 4, Saldana A. ⚽,
87', Lopez E. ↓, Wynter S. ↑,
88', Camargo M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Veraguas won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Veraguas won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Veraguas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).