The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lech Poznań 52.7%
Draw 24.4%
AGF Aarhus 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.2%
26.2%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
79.4%
12.7%
7.9%
Lech Poznań - AGF Aarhus Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lech Poznań will win
(50 of 62 users predict this - 80.65%). Confidence interval (95%): 70.82% – 90.48%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lech Poznań will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lis M. (G) 20. Gumny R. 27. Monka W. 59. Yegbe T. 15. Gurgul M. 22. Murawski R. 43. Kozubal A. 10. Walemark P. 21. Rodriguez P. 77. Palma L. 9. Ishak M. (C)
21. Hedenstad M. (G) 40. Jensen-Abbew J. 5. Tingager F. 19. Kahl E. 23. Anderson M. 4. Knudsen M. 16. Jonsson J. 39. Emmery F. 10. Arnstad K. (C) 31. Bech T. 28. Bogere J.
Substitutes
7. Agnero Y. 11. Hakans D. 24. Jagiello F. 90. Janyszka H. 4. Moutinho J. 41. Mrozek B. (G) 2. Pereira J. 35. Pruchniewski M. (G) 17. Sayyadmanesh A. 72. Skrzypczak M. 23. Thordarson G.
44. Camara M. 29. Carstensen R. 43. Grantzau Z. 22. Haugstrup O. 8. Jorgensen S. 20. Kristjansson T. 41. Lyhne O. (G) 46. Sengooba H. 13. Serra J. 45. Storch C. 27. Tchamche S. 42. van der Raad M. (G)
Coaches
Frederiksen N.
Poulsen J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', (Penalty overturned),
32', 0 - 1, Bech T. ⚽, Arnstad K. (A),
40', Kozubal A. 🟨,
45', Bogere J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 2, Arnstad K. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Jensen-Abbew J. ↓, Storch C. ↑,
68', Palma L. ↓, Sayyadmanesh A. ↑,
70', Jonsson J. ↓, Carstensen R. ↑,
70', Bogere J. ↓, Tchamche S. ↑,
75', 0 - 3, Tingager F. ⚽, Kahl E. (A),
81', Gumny R. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
81', Rodriguez P. ↓, Jagiello F. ↑,
86', Anderson M. 🟨,
87', Walemark P. ↓, Hakans D. ↑,
88', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
90+3', Kahl E. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
91', Emmery F. 🟨,
95', 1 - 3, Jagiello F. ⚽,
97', Anderson M. ↓, Serra J. ↑,
97', Emmery F. ↓, Kristjansson T. ↑,
98', Murawski R. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
100', 1 - 4, Kristjansson T. ⚽, Bech T. (A),
105+1', Agnero Y. 🟨,
107', Camara M. 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Jagiello F. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Arnstad K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Sayyadmanesh A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Tingager F. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kozubal A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kristjansson T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Agnero Y. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Serra J. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Pereira J. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Bech T. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 4-1.
Aarhus has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Aarhus has had a series of home games.
In this match, Lech is considered a favorite.
We predict that Lech will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Lech Poznań - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 50.2%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.