The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vicenza Virtus 27.5%
Draw 30.7%
Cremonese 41.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.7%
30%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.4%
21.8%
54.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vicenza Virtus that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cremonese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vicenza Virtus - Cremonese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Cremonese has the most likely position - 4 (7.86%), has project points - 58, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (45%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
Vicenza Virtus has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Cremonese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Cremonese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Vicenza Virtus won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Vicenza Virtus won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.