The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cremonese 47%
Draw 29.5%
Perugia 23.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49%
27.4%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.4%
21.2%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+16.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cremonese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perugia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cremonese - Perugia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Cremonese has the most likely position - 2 (12.16%), has project points - 63, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a chance of promoted (32%), has a small chance of win league (11%).
Perugia has the most likely position - 16 (8.75%), has project points - 44, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (29%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Cremonese is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Perugia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Perugia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Cremonese is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Cremonese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.
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