Match Info

Date: 28 August 2021, Saturday


	Vicenza Virtus		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.75	Watch
	2.8	3	2.7
	2.75	3	2.75	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.65
	2.9	3.07	2.8
	2.62	3	2.8
	2.76	3.13	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.63)	3.01 ↓ (3.08)	2.74 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vicenza Virtus
34.3%

Draw
31.3%

Frosinone
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

21.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vicenza Virtus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frosinone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	75%	12.5%

Vicenza Virtus - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Vicenza will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Frosinone will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Frosinone has the most likely position - 5 (6.17%), has project points - 53, has currently - 1, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Vicenza Virtus has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Frosinone is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Frosinone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Frosinone have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vicenza Virtus won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Vicenza Virtus won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie B
21.08.21	Cittadella - Vicenza Virtus	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.21	Empoli - Vicenza Virtus	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Sassuolo - Vicenza Virtus	3:1 ✺
30.07.21	Vicenza Virtus - Lecce	0:1 ✺
24.07.21	Vicenza Virtus - Cagliari	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
20.08.21	Frosinone - Parma	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.21	Venezia - Frosinone	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Frosinone - Benevento	2:2 ✺
31.07.21	Frosinone - Ternana	2:0 ✺
28.07.21	Frosinone - Viterbese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
07.05.21	Frosinone - Vicenza Virtus	1:1
15.01.21	Vicenza Virtus - Frosinone	0:0

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