Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ceibeño (La Ceiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Victoria La Ceiba		Platense

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.3
	2.78	3.2	2.28
	3.02	3.29	2.3	Watch
	3	3	2.25
	3.03	3.04	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.58)	3.16 ↓ (3.33)	2.28 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria La Ceiba
31.5%

Draw
28.7%

Platense
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

27%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26.1%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Victoria La Ceiba - Platense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Espinoza S. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Castellanos C. ⚽,
33', Lahera Y. 🟨,
37', 1 - 2, Bernardez C. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 3, Carter D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sanchez J. ↓, Barrios A. ↑,
46', Carter D. ↓, Puerto E. ↑,
46', Suazo O. ↓, Sevilla L. ↑,
50', 2 - 3, Bernardez C. ⚽,
53', Barrios A. 🟨,
55', Bueso G. ↓, Matute C. ↑,
63', Flores B. 🟨,
66', Castillo Marin J. ↓, Castellanos C. ↑,
67', Carter D. ↓, Puerto E. ↑,
68', Santos B. 🟨,
70', Solano E. 🟨,
73', Lahera Y. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
81', Urbina E. ↓, Norales R. ↑,
81', Portillo A. ↓, Kelly K. ↑,
82', 🟨,
82', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Platense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Victoria La Ceiba won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Platense	8	1	2	5	6:18	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional
11.03.26	Real España - Victoria La Ceiba	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Génesis PN	2:4 ✺
28.02.26	Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0 ✺
24.02.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Olancho	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Choloma - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL
- CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
12.03.26	Platense - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Olancho - Platense	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Platense - Real España	2:2 ✺
26.02.26	Lobos UPNFM - Platense	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Platense - Juticalpa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
25.01.26	Platense - Victoria La Ceiba	1:1
15.10.25	Platense - Victoria La Ceiba	2:0
02.08.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Platense	0:4
12.03.22	Victoria La Ceiba - Platense	0:1
05.02.22	Platense - Victoria La Ceiba	0:2
27.10.21	Platense - Victoria La Ceiba	1:2
15.09.21	Victoria La Ceiba - Platense	2:0

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