Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas (Juticalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Olancho		Choloma

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.45	4.95
	1.55	3.58	5.28
	1.62	3.8	5.35	Watch
	1.57	3.75	4.8
	1.63	3.94	4.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.26)	3.7 ↓ (4.95)	5.06 ↓ (9.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olancho
57.2%

Draw
24.7%

Choloma
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

18.3%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olancho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olancho's form might have worsened.

Choloma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Choloma's recent form is better than expected.

Olancho - Choloma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fonseca H. (G) 14. Argueta C. 20. Cabrera Y. A. 10. Leiva G. 5. Martinez D. 33. Munoz N. 26. Perea G. 30. Ramirez Arauz M. R. 7. Rodriguez D. 9. Sanchez J. 50. Villatoro D.	24. Pineda J. (G) 13. Aceituno M. 50. Bermudez J. 9. Borja E. 15. Canales C. 23. Castillo H. 12. Chavez Y. 4. Cordova J. 22. Florez E. 18. Quejada J. (C) 8. Rocha D.
Substitutes
. Almendarez O. 29. Argueta G. (G) 17. Benitez E. 11. Calix C. 24. Elvir O. 39. Garcia M. . Lasso J. . Lopez 12. Mejia Y. . Perez 18. Villatoro A. 21. Zuniga Bernardez C. J.	33. Aguilar D. 11. Alvarado M. 17. Anaya L. 2. Barrios B. 28. Barrios J. 10. Canales J. 64. Coleman W. 5. Franco J. 25. Padilla G. 26. Ramos G. 6. Suazo J. 48. Turcios J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Borja E. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Cabrera Y. A. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Villatoro A. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
51', Bermudez J. 🟨,
54', Martinez D. 🟨,
58', 3 - 1, Sanchez J. ⚽,
60', Sanchez J. ↓, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ↑,
60', Leiva G. ↓, Almendarez O. ↑,
60', Bermudez J. ↓, Padilla G. ↑,
71', Rodriguez D. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
74', Florez E. ↓, Franco J. ↑,
74', Cordova J. ↓, Barrios J. ↑,
81', Aceituno M. ↓, Coleman W. ↑,
82', Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↓, Villatoro A. ↑,
83', Perez S. 🟨,
90+5', Almendarez O. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 7).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Choloma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Choloma has had a series of home games.

In this match, Olancho is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 3.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Olancho won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Olancho	8	2	5	1	6:5	1	11
10	Choloma	8	2	1	5	6:8	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
23.03.26	Lobos UPNFM - Olancho	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Olancho	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Olancho - Real España	3:0 ✺
11.03.26	Génesis PN - Olancho	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Olancho - Platense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTWTW
- CD Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional
01.04.26	Choloma - Platense	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Choloma - Génesis PN	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Lobos UPNFM - Choloma	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Choloma - Juticalpa	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Choloma - CD Marathón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
11.02.26	Choloma - Olancho	0:1
07.12.25	Choloma - Olancho	0:4
21.09.25	Olancho - Choloma	6:2

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