The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Choloma 48.2%
Draw 26.8%
Génesis PN 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
26.4%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
25.5%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Choloma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Choloma's performance.
Génesis PN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Génesis PN might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Choloma that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Génesis PN could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Choloma - Génesis PN Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Pineda J. (G) 13. Aceituno M. 9. Borja E. 15. Canales C. 23. Castillo H. 12. Chavez Y. 4. Cordova J. 22. Florez E. 5. Franco J. (C) 18. Quejada J. 8. Rocha D.
1. Rodriguez D. (G) 25. Felix B. 32. Gabriel Araujo 15. Maldonado E. (C) 33. Melendez D. 14. Mosquera J. 17. Nunez D. 30. Riascos J. 22. Sander R. 13. Tejeda A. 2. Vargas A.
Substitutes
33. Aguilar D. 11. Alvarado M. 7. Anaya L. 20. Arias I. 2. Barrios B. 28. Barrios J. 10. Canales J. 27. Fernandez C. 25. Padilla G. 26. Ramos G. 6. Suazo J.
26. Arzu Zapata C. I. 12. Balanta R. A. (G) 7. Miranda J. 8. Nieto J. 79. Palomo A. 27. Paz J. 19. Perez J. 66. Perez K. 20. Solano M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Rocha D. ⚽,
8', Franco J. 🟨,
21', Franco J. 🟨,
24', Borja E. ↓, Barrios J. ↑,
31', 1 - 1, Tejeda A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rocha D. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
47', Nunez D. 🟨,
53', Aceituno M. 🟨,
55', Cordova J. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Tejeda A. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Aceituno M. ↓, Anaya L. ↑,
58', Barrios J. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
62', Nunez D. 🟨,
65', Fernandez C. 🟥,
72', Anaya L. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Felix B. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
73', Miranda J. 🟨,
76', Sander R. 🟨,
88', Florez E. ↓, Padilla G. ↑,
90', Sander R. ↓, Arzu Zapata C. I. ↑,
90+2', Riascos J. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 10)
Choloma has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Génesis is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Choloma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Choloma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Honduras
Watch
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Pineda J. (G) 
Borja E. 
Castillo H. 
Cordova J. 
Florez E. 
Gabriel Araujo 
Aguilar D. 
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