Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 21

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova (La Paz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Génesis PN		Victoria La Ceiba

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.85	3.75
	1.72	3.97	4.16
	1.79	4.14	3.72	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4
	1.77	3.96	3.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.7)	3.93 ↑ (3.72)	3.92 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Génesis PN
53%

Draw
23.4%

Victoria La Ceiba
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

24.4%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

22.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Génesis PN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Victoria La Ceiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Génesis PN - Victoria La Ceiba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Balanta R. A. (G) 25. Felix B. 24. Fonseca C. 32. Gabriel Araujo 15. Maldonado E. 7. Miranda J. 14. Mosquera J. 17. Nunez D. 22. Sander R. 13. Tejeda A. (C) 2. Vargas A.	1. Flores E. (G) 5. Banegas A. 3. Barrios O. 23. Bueso G. 48. Card S. 25. Chavez B. 20. Espinal M. (C) 8. Kelly K. 19. Lahera Y. 4. Oliva E. 65. Sevilla L.
Substitutes
26. Arzu Zapata C. I. 33. Melendez D. 8. Nieto J. 79. Palomo A. 27. Paz J. 19. Perez J. 30. Riascos J. 75. Santos K.	36. Cruz A. 33. Garcia J. 27. Guzman J. 6. Matute C. 32. Monico D. 21. Morales D. 12. Perello M. (G) 16. Portillo A. 38. Ramirez L. 29. Suazo O. 30. Vaquedano B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kelly K. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Gabriel Araujo ⚽,
63', Miranda J. ↓, Riascos J. ↑,
64', Nunez D. ↓, Melendez D. ↑,
64', Sander R. ↓, Nieto J. ↑,
65', Chavez B. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
65', Bueso G. ↓, Monico D. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Riascos J. ⚽,
76', Espinal M. ↓, Matute C. ↑,
79', Tejeda A. ↓, Palomo A. ↑,
79', Felix B. ↓, Arzu Zapata C. I. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 2.

Génesis has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Victoria La Ceiba's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Victoria La Ceiba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Génesis is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Génesis won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Genesis	8	3	2	3	10:6	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Génesis Policía Nacional
Honduras Liga Nacional
23.04.26	Lobos UPNFM - Génesis PN	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Génesis PN - CD Marathón	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Platense - Génesis PN	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Motagua - Génesis PN	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Génesis PN - Juticalpa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLWLL
- Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional
22.04.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Juticalpa	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Olancho - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0 ✺
16.04.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Motagua	1:1
13.04.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Choloma	2:5 ✺
08.04.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
08.03.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Génesis PN	2:4
22.11.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Génesis PN	2:1
30.08.25	Génesis PN - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0
30.03.25	Génesis PN - Victoria La Ceiba	3:3
30.01.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Génesis PN	1:0
04.10.24	Génesis PN - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1
04.08.24	Victoria La Ceiba - Génesis PN	2:2

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