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Current Win Probability
Viktoria Köln 50.4%
Draw 24.1%
Ingolstadt 25.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42%
24.3%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
23.5%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Viktoria Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viktoria Köln's performance.
Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ingolstadt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viktoria Köln that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ingolstadt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Viktoria Köln - Ingolstadt Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schulz A. (G) 28. Fallmann P. 19. Sponsel M. 6. Eisenhuth T. 18. Kloss T. 7. Tonye Y. 8. Duman T. 20. Swider N. 44. Castelle N. H. 21. Wolf L. M. 10. Otto D.
47. Klein D. (G) 6. Antzoulas G. 34. Frode L. 15. Scholz J. 20. Deichmann Y. 41. Sapina V. 19. Rosenlocher L. 5. Gul E. 28. Velupillay N. 8. Carlsen F. 13. Lokotsch L.
Substitutes
24. Amann J. 22. Boboy V. 11. Gueye E. B. 16. Jahn N. 37. Maboulou N. 17. Pledl M. 30. Prokopenko A. 9. Sachse J. 12. Wyciok D. (G)
18. Bennetts K. 4. Decker E. 30. Drakulic O. 11. Durakov S. 16. Ganda J. 37. Kanuric B. 23. Maljojoki J. 1. Ponath M. (G) 7. Seo Jong-min
Coaches
Wilhelm M.
Wittmann S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Deichmann Y. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
13', Tonye Y. 🟨,
25', Rosenlocher L. 🟨,
33', Bennetts K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Bennetts K. ↓, Durakov S. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Castelle N. H. ⚽,
62', Sapina V. 🟨,
65', Fallmann P. ↓, Prokopenko A. ↑,
65', Castelle N. H. ↓, Maboulou N. ↑,
65', Tonye Y. ↓, Boboy V. ↑,
73', Gul E. ↓, Kanuric B. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Otto D. ⚽, Wolf L. M. (A),
79', Otto D. ↓, Sachse J. ↑,
84', Sapina V. ↓, Ganda J. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Wolf L. M. ⚽, Prokopenko A. (A),
86', Kanuric B. 🟨,
90', Wolf L. M. ↓, Gueye E. B. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viktoria Köln won 3.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Ingolstadt may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Viktoria Köln holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Viktoria Köln has recorded 9 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:14 (averaging 2.3:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Viktoria Köln against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 16:6 goals (averaging 2.7:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Viktoria Koln
11
7
2
2
30:15
15
23
6
Ingolstadt
11
5
2
4
15:16
-1
17
Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now
Ingolstadt: 2.17%
Last Results with these Odds
Ingolstadt - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.65%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.