Match Info

3. Liga - Round 21

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Sportpark Hohenberg (Cologne)

Referee: Michel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 7
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Viktoria Köln		Saarbrücken

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.25	Watch
	2.55	3.5	2.55
	2.78	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.94	3.65	2.41
	2.77	3.58	2.33	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.25
	2.83	3.5	2.32	Watch
	2.8	3.33	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.64)	3.47 ↓ (3.59)	2.35 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Köln
33.6%

Draw
26.8%

Saarbrücken
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

25.9%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

25.7%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	53.3%	26.7%

Viktoria Köln - Saarbrücken Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Viktoria Köln will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Saarbrücken will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Viktoria Köln (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Saarbrücken (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Viktoria Köln (votes: 1 - 20%). Saarbrücken (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Schulz A. (G) 22. Boboy V. 2. Dietz L. (C) 18. Kloss T. 19. Sponsel M. 21. Wolf L. M. 8. Engelhardt F. 5. Munst L. 7. Handle S. 10. Otto D. 23. Zank B.	13. Menzel P. (G) 7. Rizzuto C. 18. Wilhelm L. 32. Bormuth R. 28. Bretschneider N. 8. Zeitz M. 23. Civeja T. 6. Sontheimer P. (C) 20. Pick F. 10. Rabihic K. 9. Brunker K.
Substitutes
3. Agyekum J. 6. Eisenhuth T. 41. Kozuki S. 14. Ott R. 29. Popp L. 34. Ronstadt F. 37. Vega Zambrano J. 11. Velasco R. 12. Wyciok D. (G)	27. Bichsel J. 22. Caliskaner K. 17. Elongo-Yombo R. 2. Fahrner P. 15. Kamara A. 5. Krahn E. 1. Paterok T. (G) 39. Schmidt P. 19. Vasiliadis S.
Coaches
Wilhelm M.	Luginger J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Sponsel M. ⚽, Munst L. (A),
11', Bormuth R. 🟨,
22', Munst L. 🟨,
22', 2 - 0, Boboy V. ⚽,
32', Zeitz M. ↓, Krahn E. ↑,
32', Rabihic K. ↓, Vasiliadis S. ↑,
41', Brunker K. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Otto D. 🟨,
73', Handle S. ↓, Ronstadt F. ↑,
75', Civeja T. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
76', Wolf L. M. 🟨,
79', Bretschneider N. 🟨,
83', Wolf L. M. ↓, Eisenhuth T. ↑,
83', Kloss T. ↓, Agyekum J. ↑,
87', Boboy V. 🟨,
90+1', Boboy V. ↓, Kozuki S. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viktoria Köln won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Viktoria Köln won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Viktoria Köln won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.7:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Viktoria Koln	7	5	0	2	19:9	10	15
5	Saarbrucken	8	4	2	2	19:12	7	14

Last Results with these Odds

Viktoria Köln - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.21%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
18.01.26	Schweinfurt - Viktoria Köln	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Viktoria Köln - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Alemannia Aachen - Viktoria Köln	0:3 ✺
06.12.25	Viktoria Köln - Ulm 1846	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Energie Cottbus - Viktoria Köln	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWLL
- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
17.01.26	Saarbrücken - Energie Cottbus	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Hansa Rostock - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Saarbrücken - Hoffenheim II	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Saarbrücken	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Saarbrücken - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Saarbrücken - Viktoria Köln	2:1
28.02.25	Viktoria Köln - Saarbrücken	1:2
25.09.24	Saarbrücken - Viktoria Köln	1:0
21.02.24	Viktoria Köln - Saarbrücken	2:5
19.08.23	Saarbrücken - Viktoria Köln	1:2
27.05.23	Saarbrücken - Viktoria Köln	2:1
20.01.23	Viktoria Köln - Saarbrücken	0:2

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