Match Info

EUROPE: Europa Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 April 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Grinfeld O. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	02:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport
Brazil	13:45	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 3
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport
Denmark	18:45	TV2 Sport
Finland	19:45	Viaplay, V Sport
Italy	18:45	Sky Sport
Netherlands	18:45	ESPN
Norway	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV4
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United Kingdom	17:45	TNT Sports


	Viktoria Plzeň		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.91
	4	3.25	1.87
	4.15	3.45	1.95	Watch
	4.47	3.36	1.96
	4.47	3.33	1.96
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	4.16	3.54	1.89
	4.3	3.55	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.69)	3.41 ↑ (3.39)	1.92 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
22.8%

Draw
27.8%

Fiorentina
49.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.5%

27.7%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

29.2%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Fiorentina aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.8%	17%	70.2%

Viktoria Plzeň - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 6 - 12.8%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 33 - 70.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 57.1% – 83.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Jedlicka M. (G) 3. Hranac R. 2. Hejda L. (C) 21. Jemelka V. 14. Reznik R. 6. Cerv L. 23. Kalvach L. 22. Cadu 31. Sulc P. 15. Chory T. 11. Vydra M.	1. Terracciano P. (G) 2. Dodo 4. Milenkovic N. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 3. Biraghi C. (C) 6. Arthur Melo 38. Mandragora R. 9. Beltran L. 10. Gonzalez N. 20. Belotti A. 7. Sottil R.
Substitutes
34. Deml O. 35. Doubek M. 9. Kliment J. 36. Lorincz F. 5. Paluska J. 12. Traore I. 13. Tvrdon M. (G)	72. Barak A. 53. Christensen O. (G) 32. Duncan A. 22. Faraoni D. 11. Ikone J. 19. Infantino G. 33. Kayode M. 99. Kouame C. 8. Lopez M. 18. Nzola M. 65. Parisi F. 16. Ranieri L.
Coaches
Koubek M.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Cadu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Vydra M. ↓, Traore I. ↑,
70', Belotti A. ↓, Nzola M. ↑,
70', Beltran L. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
72', Reznik R. 🟨,
79', Arthur Melo ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
79', Sottil R. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
84', Gonzalez N. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
90', Ikone J. 🟨,
90+3', Chory T. 🟨,
90+4', Chory T. ↓, Kliment J. ↑,
90+6', Reznik R. ↓, Paluska J. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Plzeň is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fiorentina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Fiorentina have a series of home games.

In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.

There will not play in Plzeň: Durosinmi R. (Surgery) Dweh S. (Yellow Cards) Havel M. (Inactive) Jirka E. (Injury) Kopic J. (Yellow Cards) Metsoko I. (Inactive) Souare C. (Inactive) Sykora J. (Knee Injury) Valenta M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Plzeň: Mosquera J. (Head Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
06.04.24	Karviná - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0 ✺
Czech Cup
02.04.24	Jablonec - Viktoria Plzeň	0:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
30.03.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Slovan Liberec	1:3 ✺
17.03.24	Jablonec - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.03.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Servette	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLWW
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
07.04.24	Juventus - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.04.24	Fiorentina - Atalanta	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.03.24	Fiorentina - Milan	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.03.24	Fiorentina - Maccabi Haifa	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
10.03.24	Fiorentina - Roma	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLTT

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