Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen)

Referee: Rumsas D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Viktoria Plzeň		Panathinaikos

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.6
	2.1	3.3	3.6
	2.15	3.4	3.6
	2.19	3.34	3.6
	2	3.41	3.93	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.5
	2.23	3.37	3.71
	2.05	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.01)	3.3 ↓ (3.49)	3.67 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
45%

Draw
29%

Panathinaikos
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.3%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

26.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.1%	21.8%	9.1%

Viktoria Plzeň - Panathinaikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 38 - 69.1%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 5 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 21.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plzeň: 56.9% – 81.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Panathinaikos (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Plzeň (1.30) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Panathinaikos (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 12 - 75%). Panathinaikos (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Wiegele F. (G) 40. Dweh S. 21. Jemelka V. 5. Spacil K. 19. Souare C. 70. Lawal S. 6. Cerv L. (C) 17. Hrosovsky P. 99. Memic A. 9. Visinsky D. 18. Ladra T.	40. Lafont A. (G) 3. Katris G. 15. Ingason S. I. 5. Touba A. 2. Calabria D. 11. Bakasetas A. (C) 8. Sanches R. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 20. Taborda V. 7. Tetteh A. 9. Zaroury A.
Substitutes
80. Adu P. 4. Chalupa J. 33. Novak A. 20. Panos J. 15. Silhavy M. (G) 12. Sojka A. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 32. Valenta M. 11. Vydra M.	10. Andino S. 31. Djuricic F. 71. Geitonas C. (G) 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 26. Hernandez J. 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 72. Pantovic M. 28. Pellistri F. 19. Swiderski K.
Coaches
Hysky M.	Benitez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Tetteh A. ⚽, Taborda V. (A),
29', Sanches R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jemelka V. ↓, Adu P. ↑,
46', Zaroury A. ↓, Djuricic F. ↑,
60', Bakasetas A. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Spacil K. ⚽, Hrosovsky P. (A),
62', Lafont A. 🟨,
74', Hrosovsky P. 🟨,
76', Taborda V. ↓, Pellistri F. ↑,
82', Lawal S. ↓, Vydra M. ↑,
82', Cerv L. ↓, Valenta M. ↑,
82', Spacil K. ↓, Sojka A. ↑,
90', Bakasetas A. ↓, Gnezda Cerin A. ↑,
90+4', Touba A. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Touba A. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
96', Calabria D. 🟨,
100', Ladra T. ↓, Panos J. ↑,
105', Hernandez J. 🟥,
109', Sanches R. ↓, Swiderski K. ↑,
115', Tetteh A. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Memic A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Calabria D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Hrosovsky P. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Pellistri F. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Visinsky D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Djuricic F. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Souare C. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Swiderski K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Valenta M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Pantovic M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 2-2. Second leg.

Plzeň is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Panathinaikos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Plzeň will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Plzeň won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Plzen: 0.66%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
34	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0

Last Results with these Odds

Viktoria Plzeň - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 47.32%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
22.02.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Sparta Prague	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Panathinaikos - Viktoria Plzeň	2:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
14.02.26	Sigma Olomouc - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Slovan Liberec	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Karviná - Viktoria Plzeň	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWWW
- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Super League
22.02.26	OFI - Panathinaikos	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Panathinaikos - Viktoria Plzeň	2:2 ✺
Greek Super League
15.02.26	Panathinaikos - AEL Larissa	1:1 ✺
Greek Cup
11.02.26	PAOK - Panathinaikos	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
08.02.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Panathinaikos - Viktoria Plzeň	2:2
11.12.25	Panathinaikos - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0

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