Match Info

Super League - Round 21

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium (Athens)

Referee: Moschou D. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ANT1 Pacific
Belarus	Sport TV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Usa	ANT1 Satellite


	Panathinaikos		AEL Larissa

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.2	8.5	Watch
	1.42	4.3	8.2
	1.45	4.18	8.51
	1.35	4.7	9.11	Watch
	1.4	4	8
	1.41	4.2	8.25	Watch
	1.37	4.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)	4.3 ↑ (4.11)	8.51 ↑ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panathinaikos
67.1%

Draw
21.8%

AEL Larissa
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

22.7%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

23.3%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Panathinaikos - AEL Larissa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Larissa (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Panathinaikos will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Panathinaikos will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Larissa (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Lafont A. (G) 5. Touba A. 21. Jedvaj T. 26. Hernandez J. 2. Calabria D. 11. Bakasetas A. (C) 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 3. Katris G. 20. Taborda V. 10. Andino S. 19. Swiderski K.	94. Anagnostopoulos A. (C) 14. Ferigra E. 28. Batubinsika D. 4. Iliadis T. 27. Macon Y. 31. Atanasov J. 15. Naor G. 20. Olafsson D. 29. Tupta L. 25. Sagal A. 77. Sisto P.
Substitutes
39. Bokos I. G. 12. Chaves L. (G) 88. Jagusic A. 18. Kontouris S. 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 14. Palmer-Brown E. 23. Pantelidis P. 72. Pantovic M. 8. Sanches R. 6. Siopis M. 52. Vilhena T. 9. Zaroury A.	2. Apostolakis K. 18. Chatzistravos Z. 23. Garate L. 12. Kossonou A. 11. Mourgos S. 7. Ngoy J. 6. Pantelakis E. 19. Pasas G. 8. Perez F. 21. Venetikidis T. (G)
Coaches
Benitez R.	Pantelidis S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Ferigra E. 🟨,
39', Taborda V. 🟨,
44', Touba A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Tupta L. ⚽, Sisto P. (A),
58', Touba A. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
58', Andino S. ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
61', Anagnostopoulos A. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Bakasetas A. ⚽, Gnezda Cerin A. (A),
68', Sagal A. ↓, Ngoy J. ↑,
73', Sisto P. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
84', Taborda V. ↓, Jagusic A. ↑,
84', Naor G. ↓, Mourgos S. ↑,
84', Tupta L. ↓, Apostolakis K. ↑,
88', Swiderski K. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 2.

In recent matches, Panathinaikos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Larissa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Panathinaikos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Panathinaikos is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Panathinaikos: Chirivella P. (Calf Injury) Dessers C. (Thigh Injury) Djuricic F. (Injury) Gnezda Cerin A. (Inactive) Pellistri F. (Injury) Tetteh A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Larissa: Andrada L. (Inactive) Papageorgiou A. (Inactive) Sourlis V. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Larissa: Tupta L. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Panathinaikos won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

Panathinaikos: 29.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	5	5	0	0	12:2	10	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Cup
11.02.26	PAOK - Panathinaikos	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
08.02.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos	0:1 ✺
Greek Cup
04.02.26	Panathinaikos - PAOK	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
01.02.26	Panathinaikos - AE Kifisia	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Panathinaikos - Roma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLWT
- AEL Larissa
Greek Super League
07.02.26	AEL Larissa - Panetolikos	1:4 ✺
31.01.26	Volos - AEL Larissa	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	AEL Larissa - Panserraikos	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	AEL Larissa - Aris	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	AE Kifisia - AEL Larissa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
07.12.25	AEL Larissa - Panathinaikos	2:2
10.01.21	Panathinaikos - AEL Larissa	2:0
28.09.20	AEL Larissa - Panathinaikos	1:1
25.01.20	AEL Larissa - Panathinaikos	0:2
27.10.19	Panathinaikos - AEL Larissa	1:2
27.01.19	Panathinaikos - AEL Larissa	1:1
16.09.18	AEL Larissa - Panathinaikos	1:3

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