What is the expert prediction for Viktoria Plzeň vs Real Sociedad?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Viktoria Plzeň vs Real Sociedad. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Viktoria Plzeň vs Real Sociedad Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, November 07, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen)

Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport LaLiga
Argentina	ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 4
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 3
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 7
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Japan	Wowow Prime
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Montenegro	Arena Sport 9
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	SportsMax 2 Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	DAZN 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
South-america	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 9
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, SportsMax App


	Viktoria Plzeň		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.4	1.95
	4	3.3	1.95
	3.95	3.45	1.98
	4.22	3.43	2
	4.17	3.46	1.92	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.95
	4.19	3.58	2.01
	4	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↓ (4.7)	3.44 ↓ (3.45)	1.97 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
23.4%

Draw
27.9%

Real Sociedad
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

27%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

20.6%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Sociedad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	20%	65.7%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 51.9% – 83.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Jedlicka M. (G) 5. Paluska J. 3. Markovic S. 21. Jemelka V. 24. Havel M. 6. Cerv L. 23. Kalvach L. (C) 31. Sulc P. 22. Cadu 33. Jirka E. 80. Adu P. K.	1. Remiro A. (G) 27. Aramburu J. 5. Zubeldia I. 21. Aguerd N. 12. Lopez J. 14. Kubo T. 4. Zubimendi M. 17. Gomez S. 24. Sucic L. 9. Oskarsson O. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)
Substitutes
10. Kopic J. 18. Mosquera J. 20. Panos J. 29. Sloncik T. 12. Sojka A. 19. Souare C. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 51. Vasulin D. 11. Vydra M. 1. Wiegele F. (G)	11. Becker S. 6. Elustondo A. 32. Fraga A. (G) 15. Gonzalez U. 25. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 13. Marrero U. (G) 31. Martin J. 23. Mendez B. 2. Odriozola A. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 20. Pacheco J. 19. Sadiq U.
Coaches
Trousil J.	Alguacil I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Adu P. K. ⚽, Sulc P. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Oyarzabal M. (A),
37', Paluska J. 🟨,
42', Zubeldia I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Cerv L. 🟨,
60', Kubo T. ↓, Becker S. ↑,
72', Oyarzabal M. 🟨,
73', Jirka E. ↓, Vydra M. ↑,
73', Cadu ↓, Souare C. ↑,
74', Lopez J. ↓, Mendez B. ↑,
81', Zubeldia I. ↓, Elustondo A. ↑,
88', Adu P. K. ↓, Vasulin D. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Vasulin D. ⚽, Kalvach L. (A),
90+4', Sulc P. ↓, Sojka A. ↑,
90+6', Havel M. 🟨,
90+6', Aramburu J. 🟨,
90+7', Sucic L. 🟨,
90+8', Aguerd N. 🟨,

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Plzeň could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Plzeň have a series of guest games.

In this match Real Sociedad is a favorite.

There will not play in Plzeň: Adu P. K. (Yellow Cards) Durosinmi R. (Surgery) Dweh S. (Red Card) Hejda L. (Muscle Injury) Sene C. (Inactive) Sykora J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Traore H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Barrenetxea A. (Ankle Injury) Marin P. (Muscle Injury) Turrientes B. (Injury) Zakharyan A. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
03.11.24	Slovácko - Viktoria Plzeň	1:0 ✺
Czech Cup
30.10.24	Ústí nad Labem - Viktoria Plzeň	3:4 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
27.10.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Sparta Prague	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	PAOK - Viktoria Plzeň	2:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
19.10.24	Baník Ostrava - Viktoria Plzeň	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWTW
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
03.11.24	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
19.10.24	Girona - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWT

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