Match Info

LaLiga - Round 34

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 3
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Sevilla		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.87
	2.38	3.25	3.05	Watch
	2.44	3.31	3.19
	2.47	3.22	3.01	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.5	3.33	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.44)	3.25 ↓ (3.48)	3.04 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sevilla
39.4%

Draw
29.3%

Real Sociedad
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

27.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.9%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	22.9%	18.7%

Sevilla - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 28 - 58.3%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 9 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 22.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sevilla: 44.4% – 72.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sevilla (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Real Sociedad (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Sevilla (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Real Sociedad (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 2. Carmona J. A. 32. Castrin 4. Salas K. 12. Suazo G. 11. Vargas R. 18. Agoume L. 6. Gudelj N. (C) 21. Ejuke C. 7. Romero I. 17. Maupay N.	1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 31. Martin J. 16. Caleta-Car D. 17. Gomez S. 15. Marin P. 4. Gorrotxategi J. 8. Turrientes B. 7. Barrenetxea A. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 18. Soler C.
Substitutes
9. Adams A. 3. Azpilicueta C. 38. Guilen N. 24. Januzaj A. 8. Joan Jordan 19. Mendy B. 5. Nianzou T. 13. Nyland O. (G) 36. Oso 14. Peque 10. Sanchez A. 16. Sanchez J.	6. Elustondo A. 32. Fraga A. (G) 12. Herrera Y. 14. Kubo T. 13. Marrero U. (G) 23. Mendez B. 3. Munoz A. 9. Oskarsson O. 24. Sucic L. 22. Wesley 21. Zakharyan A.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Matarazzo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Aramburu J. 🟨,
28', Garcia L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Romero I. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
46', Gorrotxategi J. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Sanchez A. ⚽, Maupay N. (A),
58', Marin P. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
69', Turrientes B. ↓, Herrera Y. ↑,
75', Vargas R. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
75', Sanchez A. 🟨,
82', Gudelj N. ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
82', Aramburu J. ↓, Wesley ↑,
82', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,
88', Carmona J. A. 🟨,
90+1', Maupay N. ↓, Peque ↑,
90+1', Ejuke C. ↓, Oso ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 2.

Sevilla has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Sociedad has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Sevilla: Bueno M. (Knee Injury) Marcao (Wrist Injury) Sow D. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Guedes G. (Toe Injury) Karrikaburu J. (Ankle Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury) Zubeldia I. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.8:1.5).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Sevilla: 0.42% Real Sociedad: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10:9	1	13
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9:13	-4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Sevilla - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.97%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Real Sociedad - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 33.71%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
26.04.26	Osasuna - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Levante - Sevilla	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Real Oviedo - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Sevilla - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLL
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
26.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad	3:3 ✺
22.04.26	Real Sociedad - Getafe	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
18.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	2:3 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
11.04.26	Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés	3:3 ✺
04.04.26	Real Sociedad - Levante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
24.10.25	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	2:1
09.03.25	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	0:1
03.11.24	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	0:2
02.03.24	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	3:2
26.11.23	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	2:1
04.06.23	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	2:1
09.11.22	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	1:2

Upcoming Matches