Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 21

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Vila Meã		Aparecida

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.75
	1.65	3.29	5.08
	1.65	3.4	5.14	Watch
	1.65	3.1	5
	1.63	3.34	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.64)	3.33 ↓ (3.6)	5.05 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Meã
55%

Draw
27.1%

Aparecida
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.2%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

26%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Meã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Aparecida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Meã than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecida than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Vila Meã - Aparecida Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Vila Meã is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vila Meã won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Vila Meã
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.03.26	Alpendorada - Vila Meã	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Vila Meã - Resende	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Cinfães - Vila Meã	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Vila Meã - Salgueiros 08	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Vila Meã - Vila Real	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTTT
- Aparecida FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.03.26	Aparecida - Resende	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Salgueiros 08 - Aparecida	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Aparecida - Beira-Mar	1:5 ✺
07.02.26	Anadia - Aparecida	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Aparecida - Gouveia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.11.25	Aparecida - Vila Meã	2:1
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Aparecida - Vila Meã	1:3 ET

Vila Meã - Aparecida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide