Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 20

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Vila Meã		Marco 09

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.95	2.05
	3.5	3	2.1
	3.35	2.92	2.08
	3.68	2.89	2.15
	3.46	2.96	2.06
	3.5	3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.68)	2.95 ↑ (2.89)	2.09 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Meã
26%

Draw
30.7%

Marco 09
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

32%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

31.1%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Meã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Marco 09 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Meã than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Vila Meã is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Marco is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marco will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vila Meã won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Vila Meã
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.02.24	Oliveira do Douro - Vila Meã	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Vila Meã - Salgueiros 08	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Lamelas - Vila Meã	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Vila Meã - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Vila Meã - São João de Ver	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLL
- AD Marco 09
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.02.24	Marco 09 - São João de Ver	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Florgrade - Marco 09	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Marco 09 - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Beira-Mar - Marco 09	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Marco 09 - Valadares Gaia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.10.23	Marco 09 - Vila Meã	1:0

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