Match Info

Date: 14 February 2022, Monday


	Chaves		Vilafranquense

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5.25
	1.7	3.5	4.75
	1.62	3.5	4.9
	1.62	3.55	5.2
	1.65	3.78	5.98
	1.65	3.3	5
	1.65	3.7	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.77)	3.55 ↑ (3.4)	5.15 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaves
56.2%

Draw
25.9%

Vilafranquense
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

22%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chaves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Chaves - Vilafranquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 12).

Chaves in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vilafranquense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chaves could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chaves is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chaves to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chaves won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Chaves won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Chaves
Portuguese Liga 2
10.02.22	Chaves - Rio Ave	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Académico de Viseu - Chaves	0:2 ✺
02.02.22	Chaves - Varzim	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Chaves - Feirense	3:1 ✺
24.01.22	Leixões - Chaves	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWT
- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
06.02.22	Vilafranquense - Mafra	2:0 ✺
30.01.22	Covilhã - Vilafranquense	1:1 ✺
22.01.22	Vilafranquense - Nacional	4:3 ✺
15.01.22	Penafiel - Vilafranquense	4:3 ✺
09.01.22	Trofense - Vilafranquense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
12.09.21	Vilafranquense - Chaves	1:1
23.03.21	Vilafranquense - Chaves	0:1
31.10.20	Chaves - Vilafranquense	0:0
29.12.19	Chaves - Vilafranquense	2:1

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