Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Maior)

Referee: Rosa D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Vilafranquense		Porto B

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.75
	2.37	2.95	2.8
	2.5	3.05	2.7
	2.64	3.11	3.01
	2.5	2.9	2.75
	2.47	3.18	2.81
	2.41	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.26)	3.01 ↑ (3)	2.8 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilafranquense
37%

Draw
30.4%

Porto B
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

28.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Porto B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilafranquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Vilafranquense - Porto B Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vilafranquense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Porto B will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vilafranquense won 3.

Recent matches Vilafranquense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Porto B is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Porto B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Vilafranquense won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Vilafranquense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
18.02.23	Feirense - Vilafranquense	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Vilafranquense - Trofense	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Oliveirense - Vilafranquense	2:2 ✺
29.01.23	Vilafranquense - Moreirense	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	BSAD - Vilafranquense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTLW
- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
18.02.23	Porto B - Estrela da Amadora	1:2 ✺
12.02.23	Oliveirense - Porto B	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Porto B - BSAD	1:2 ✺
29.01.23	Covilhã - Porto B	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	Benfica B - Porto B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
03.09.22	Porto B - Vilafranquense	0:1
24.04.22	Porto B - Vilafranquense	0:1
12.12.21	Vilafranquense - Porto B	2:1
27.02.21	Vilafranquense - Porto B	1:1
04.10.20	Porto B - Vilafranquense	2:1
07.03.20	Vilafranquense - Porto B	3:2
26.10.19	Porto B - Vilafranquense	1:1

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