Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Maior)

Referee: Silva H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Vilafranquense		Trofense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.33
	1.75	3.2	4.4
	1.64	3.5	4.9
	1.81	3.5	5.01
	1.78	3.2	4.33
	1.79	3.42	4.45
	1.77	3.3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.7)	3.33 ↑ (3.25)	4.53 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilafranquense
52.2%

Draw
27.5%

Trofense
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27.6%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

26.5%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Vilafranquense - Trofense Predictions

Users Predictions: Vilafranquense will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Vilafranquense is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vilafranquense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vilafranquense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
04.02.23	Oliveirense - Vilafranquense	2:2 ✺
29.01.23	Vilafranquense - Moreirense	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	BSAD - Vilafranquense	0:3 ✺
14.01.23	Vilafranquense - Leixões	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Covilhã - Vilafranquense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWWT
- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
05.02.23	Trofense - Leixões	0:1 ✺
30.01.23	BSAD - Trofense	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Mafra - Trofense	1:0 ✺
14.01.23	Trofense - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Estrela da Amadora - Trofense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
20.08.22	Trofense - Vilafranquense	1:3
Club Friendly
13.07.22	Vilafranquense - Trofense	2:0
Portuguese Liga 2
14.05.22	Vilafranquense - Trofense	2:4
09.01.22	Trofense - Vilafranquense	1:3

Vilafranquense - Trofense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide