Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes (Vila Nova de Gaia)

Referee: Vieira B. (Por)


	Porto B		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.8
	2.2	3.2	2.85
	2.18	3.35	2.95
	2.44	3.37	3.07
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.27	3.38	2.96
	2.23	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.38)	3.27 ↑ (3.1)	2.92 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto B
40.5%

Draw
28.1%

Estrela da Amadora
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

31.4%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Porto B - Estrela da Amadora Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Recent matches Porto B is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estrela in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Estrela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Porto B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Porto B won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Porto B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
12.02.23	Oliveirense - Porto B	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Porto B - BSAD	1:2 ✺
29.01.23	Covilhã - Porto B	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	Benfica B - Porto B	2:2 ✺
15.01.23	Porto B - Tondela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWTT
- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
11.02.23	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
03.02.23	Farense - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
29.01.23	Estrela da Amadora - Feirense	4:1 ✺
22.01.23	Estrela da Amadora - Penafiel	3:0 ✺
15.01.23	Nacional - Estrela da Amadora	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
28.08.22	Estrela da Amadora - Porto B	1:1
20.03.22	Porto B - Estrela da Amadora	2:2
31.10.21	Estrela da Amadora - Porto B	0:0

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