Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 23

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Vilar de Perdizes		Amarante

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.3	1.82
	4.1	3.4	1.7
	4.69	3.62	1.71
	4.6	3.56	1.7
	3.65	3.45	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.33)	3.47 ↑ (3.28)	1.76 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vilar de Perdizes
21.9%

Draw
26.3%

Amarante
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

27.6%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

27.6%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilar de Perdizes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilar de Perdizes's form might have worsened.

Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amarante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilar de Perdizes than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilar de Perdizes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amarante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Vilar de Perdizes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amarante is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Amarante will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vilar de Perdizes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Vilar de Perdizes
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.03.23	Bragança - Vilar de Perdizes	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Dumiense	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Pevidem - Vilar de Perdizes	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Maria da Fonte	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Brito - Vilar de Perdizes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTWT
- Amarante FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.03.23	Amarante - Merelinense	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Amarante	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Amarante - Desportivo Monção	4:2 ✺
19.02.23	Amarante - Bragança	5:0 ✺
12.02.23	Dumiense - Amarante	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.12.22	Amarante - Vilar de Perdizes	3:2

Upcoming Matches