Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 21

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Vilaverdense		Vitoria Guimarães B

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	5.75
	1.47	3.9	5.75
	1.47	3.9	5.8
	1.53	4.14	6.46
	1.49	4.05	5.95	Watch
	1.48	3.95	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.47)	3.97 ↓ (4.42)	5.92 ↓ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
61.6%

Draw
23%

Vitoria Guimarães B
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

21.5%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

20.9%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Guimarães B is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Vilaverdense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vilaverdense is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 3
25.02.23	Vilaverdense - Varzim	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	São João de Ver - Vilaverdense	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Vilaverdense - Montalegre	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Sanjoanense - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Vilaverdense - Felgueiras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTWTL
- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
25.02.23	Anadia - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Vitoria Guimarães B - Varzim	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Fafe - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	Vitoria Guimarães B - São João de Ver	1:3 ✺
30.01.23	Braga B - Vitoria Guimarães B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
27.11.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Vilaverdense	1:2

Vilaverdense - Vitoria Guimarães B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide