Match Info

Date: 20 August 2021, Friday


	Viljandi Tulevik		Pärnu Vaprus

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.4	6.5
	1.33	4.6	6.25	Watch
	1.35	4.7	6.8
	1.38	4.9	7.5
	1.35	4.2	7.5
	1.38	4.8	6.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.44)	4.6 ↑ (4.2)	6.88 ↑ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viljandi Tulevik
66.9%

Draw
19.8%

Pärnu Vaprus
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21.3%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

13.5%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viljandi Tulevik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viljandi Tulevik than the current prediction. (-27.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viljandi Tulevik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu Vaprus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Viljandi Tulevik - Pärnu Vaprus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Tulevik is certain favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Tulevik won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Tulevik won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Viljandi Tulevik
Estonian Meistriliiga
15.08.21	Nõmme Kalju - Viljandi Tulevik	3:1 ✺
07.08.21	Paide LM - Viljandi Tulevik	3:1 ✺
31.07.21	Viljandi Tulevik - Tammeka	5:3 ✺
17.07.21	Viljandi Tulevik - Narva Trans	0:1 ✺
30.06.21	Nõmme Kalju - Viljandi Tulevik	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLL
- Pärnu JK Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga
15.08.21	Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM	1:1 ✺
06.08.21	Tallinna JK Legion - Pärnu Vaprus	2:1 ✺
30.07.21	Pärnu Vaprus - Kuressaare	2:1 ✺
16.07.21	Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn	0:4 ✺
Estonian Cup
09.07.21	Viimsi JK - Pärnu Vaprus	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
25.06.21	Viljandi Tulevik - Pärnu Vaprus	3:1
21.06.21	Pärnu Vaprus - Viljandi Tulevik	0:1
Club Friendly
22.01.21	Pärnu Vaprus - Viljandi Tulevik	0:2
11.01.20	Viljandi Tulevik - Pärnu Vaprus	1:1
Estonian Meistriliiga
02.10.18	Pärnu Vaprus - Viljandi Tulevik	0:3
03.08.18	Viljandi Tulevik - Pärnu Vaprus	1:1
29.04.18	Viljandi Tulevik - Pärnu Vaprus	2:1

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