Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 28

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Barraza J. (Arg)


	Estudiantes de Caseros		Villa Dálmine

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	11
	1.36	4.15	7.5
	1.39	4.45	9.34
	1.38	3.9	8.5
	1.39	4.4	9
	1.39	4.2	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.66)	4.22 ↑ (3.52)	8.96 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Caseros
67.5%

Draw
22.1%

Villa Dálmine
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.3%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

25.7%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Caseros's performance.

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa Dálmine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Caseros that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa Dálmine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Estudiantes de Caseros - Villa Dálmine Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Villa Dálmine will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CA Estudiantes: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Amade L. (G) 4. Lopez D. 2. Bottino G. 6. Zarate N. 3. Fernandez N. 8. Brinone S. 5. Mayorga S. 7. Parisi L. J. 10. Acosta E. 9. Blanco T. 11. Garnerone M.	1. Kletnicki C. (G) 4. Meza F. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Cosciuc F. 3. Pereyra A. 8. Perez R. 5. Arzura J. 7. Castaneda D. 11. Tello L. 9. Conberse B. 10. Molina F.
Substitutes
20. Bolzicco T. 18. Fagundez F. 16. Felissia L. 14. Ferreyra M. 17. Gaitan T. 13. Lorenzon F. 15. Lusnig L. 12. Vega M. (G) 19. Vera I.	20. Caramuto M. 19. Forlani S. 15. Gaitan N. 16. Gargiulo V. 18. Nievas A 17. Rivadeneira M. 13. Rosso F. 12. Salerno F. (G) 14. Varela M.
Coaches
Otta W.	Benitez J.

Preview

Recent matches CA Estudiantes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Villa Dálmine is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match CA Estudiantes is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches CA Estudiantes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams CA Estudiantes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.08.23	Deportivo Madryn - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
07.08.23	Aldosivi - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	Brown de Adrogué - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTTTT
- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.08.23	Villa Dálmine - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Quilmes - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Villa Dálmine - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
30.07.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Villa Dálmine	3:0 ✺
23.07.23	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Riestra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.04.23	Villa Dálmine - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0
05.03.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Villa Dálmine	2:2
Argentinian Primera B
29.11.14	Estudiantes de Caseros - Villa Dálmine	0:1 penalties
01.10.14	Estudiantes de Caseros - Villa Dálmine	1:2

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