Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 34

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Villa Dálmine		Chaco For Ever

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.1
	3.3	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.54	3.12	2.27
	3.3	3.1	2.15
	3.38	3.24	2.19
	3.25	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.76)	3.18 ↓ (3.19)	2.18 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Dálmine
27.8%

Draw
29.3%

Chaco For Ever
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.4%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28.2%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Chaco For Ever has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaco For Ever than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	25%	56.2%

Villa Dálmine - Chaco For Ever Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Villa Dálmine will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Chaco For Ever will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chaco For Ever: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kletnicki C. (G) 2. Giacopuzzi F. 4. Cosciuc F. 6. Varela M. 3. Nievas A. 5. Perez R. 7. Caramuto M. 10. Castaneda D. 11. Tello L. 9. Ramirez B. 8. Forlani S.	1. Canuto G. (G) 2. Barbieri G. 6. Marin Y. 4. Galetto J. 3. Allende L. 5. Nievas B. 8. Bogado E. 10. Iritier J. 11. Bayk J. 7. Rios G. 9. Romero M. S.
Substitutes
20. Barberini V. 16. Carlucci V. 19. Conberse B. 17. Gargiulo V. 13. Meza F. 18. Rivadeneira M. 12. Salerno F. (G) 14. Varela J. I. 15. Vitale D.	15. Abraham I. 20. Dellarossa J. 13. Garcia D. 19. Ibarra C. 16. Maccari M. 12. Silva L. (G) 18. Silva N. 17. Valenzuela S. 14. Zabala H.
Coaches
Benitez J.	Pancaldo R.

Preview

Villa Dálmine has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chaco For Ever is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chaco For Ever could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chaco For Ever will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Villa Dálmine won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Dálmine won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.10.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Villa Dálmine	1:0 ✺
02.10.23	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Maipú	2:3 ✺
24.09.23	Aldosivi - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Deportivo Madryn - Villa Dálmine	4:0 ✺
09.09.23	Villa Dálmine - Atlético de Rafaela	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLL
- Chaco For Ever
Copa Argentina
11.10.23	Chaco For Ever - Defensa y Justicia	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.10.23	Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Chaco For Ever	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	Chaco For Ever - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Brown de Adrogué - Chaco For Ever	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.06.23	Chaco For Ever - Villa Dálmine	2:0
23.03.22	Villa Dálmine - Chaco For Ever	0:0

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