Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 32

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Vinas N. (Arg)


	Villa Dálmine		Deportivo Maipú

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.75	1.6	Watch
	5.75	3.75	1.53
	6	3.75	1.55	Watch
	6.2	3.97	1.57
	6	3.75	1.53
	6.1	3.82	1.57
	6	3.8	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.08 ↑ (4.76)	3.8 ↑ (3.43)	1.56 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Dálmine
15.4%

Draw
24.6%

Deportivo Maipú
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

27%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

26.7%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Maipú's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Maipú, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Maipú Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Villa Dálmine will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Maipú: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salerno F. (G) 4. Cosciuc F. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Rosso F. 3. Pereyra A. 5. Arzura J. 8. Perez R. 7. Caramuto M. 10. Molina F. 11. Tello L. 9. Ramirez B.	1. Rehak G. (G) 4. Moyano S. 2. Coronel F. 6. Gonzales 3. Viguet M. 7. Gonzalez S. 5. Ramirez R. 8. Manzur A. 10. Sambueza R. 9. Almiron E. 11. Herrera L.
Substitutes
20. Barberini V. 16. Castaneda D. 19. Forlani S. 12. Kletnicki C. (G) 13. Meza F. 18. Nievas A. 17. Rivadeneira M. 14. Varela M. 15. Vitale D.	13. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 16. Egel M. 20. Klusener G. 12. Martin J. (G) 17. Olano S. 18. Ozuna E. 14. Paredes L. 15. Rigazzi G. 19. Veliez A.
Coaches
Benitez J.	Garcia L.

Preview

Deportivo Maipú is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

Villa Dálmine has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Deportivo Maipú is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villa Dálmine could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Maipú is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Villa Dálmine won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.09.23	Aldosivi - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Deportivo Madryn - Villa Dálmine	4:0 ✺
09.09.23	Villa Dálmine - Atlético de Rafaela	1:4 ✺
02.09.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Villa Dálmine	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Villa Dálmine - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLL
- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.09.23	Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Maipú	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Deportivo Maipú - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.05.23	Deportivo Maipú - Villa Dálmine	2:1
22.07.22	Deportivo Maipú - Villa Dálmine	4:0

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