Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 30

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Abel Sastre (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Rivero R. (Arg)


	Deportivo Madryn		Villa Dálmine

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	11
	1.33	4.5	10	Watch
	1.33	4.93	10.32
	1.3	4.33	10
	1.34	4.75	9.9
	1.34	4.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.53)	4.63 ↑ (3.92)	10.04 ↑ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Madryn
70.4%

Draw
20.2%

Villa Dálmine
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

23.5%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

17.8%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Madryn's performance.

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa Dálmine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-24.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Madryn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa Dálmine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportivo Madryn - Villa Dálmine Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Madryn will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Temperini N. (G) 4. Ardiles F. 2. Zules J. 6. Perales V. 3. Godoy F. 7. Crego D. 8. Arreguin E. 5. Villarreal M. 10. Sanchez N. 9. Ferreyra B. 11. Necul L.	1. Salerno F. (G) 4. Pereyra A. 6. Romat N. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 3. Maidana L. 7. Gargiulo V. 8. Perez R. 5. Arzura J. 10. Molina F. 9. Molina J. 11. Tello L.
Substitutes
17. Ferro R. 12. Hass J. (G) 19. Lioi A. 14. Magnago B. E. 20. Marinucci L. 18. Nunez C. 13. Obdrzalek J. 16. Recalde F. 15. Zuliani H.	20. Barberini V. 16. Castaneda D. 13. Cosciuc F. 17. Forlani S. 12. Kletnicki C. (G) 14. Miguez L. 18. Nievas A. 19. Ramirez B. 15. Vitale D.
Coaches
Yllana A.	Benitez J.

Preview

Recent matches Deportivo Madryn is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Villa Dálmine is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Deportivo Madryn is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Madryn won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.09.23	Aldosivi - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Deportivo Madryn - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Madryn	3:1 ✺
05.08.23	Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTTLT
- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.09.23	Villa Dálmine - Atlético de Rafaela	1:4 ✺
02.09.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Villa Dálmine	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Villa Dálmine - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Quilmes - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Villa Dálmine - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.05.23	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Madryn	1:3
18.06.22	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Madryn	3:3

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