Match Info

Date: 24 August 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Obdulio Varela (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...


	Villa Española		Sud América

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.87	3.1
	2.1	3	3.25
	2.24	2.85	3.15
	2.33	2.87	3.33
	2.27	2.88	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.12)	2.89 ↓ (3)	3.21 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Española
40.5%

Draw
31.3%

Sud América
28.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30.1%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

30.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Sud América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Villa Española - Sud América Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Villa Española will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Sud América will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villa Española: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villa Española won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sud América could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Villa Española will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Villa Española won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Española won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.08.22	Cerro - Villa Española	1:1 ✺
13.08.22	Villa Española - Atenas de San Carlos	0:0 ✺
07.08.22	La Luz - Villa Española	1:1 ✺
30.07.22	Villa Española - Progreso	0:0 ✺
24.07.22	Rampla Juniors - Villa Española	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTTTL
- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.08.22	Sud América - Miramar Misiones	2:5 ✺
13.08.22	Central Español - Sud América	1:1 ✺
07.08.22	Sud América - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
31.07.22	Sud América - Cerro	0:1 ✺
24.07.22	Atenas de San Carlos - Sud América	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
28.05.22	Sud América - Villa Española	2:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.09.21	Villa Española - Sud América	1:2
24.05.21	Sud América - Villa Española	2:1
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.10.20	Villa Española - Sud América	1:0
24.08.20	Sud América - Villa Española	0:4
10.08.19	Sud América - Villa Española	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.09.16	Sud América - Villa Española	1:0

Villa Española - Sud América