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Current Win Probability
Cerro 41.2%
Draw 31.1%
Villa Española 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.3%
30.7%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
29.2%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Villa Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
30%
30%
Cerro - Villa Española Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Villa Española will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura) and 7).
Cerro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Villa Española is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Cerro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Cerro will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Cerro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Cerro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.