Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	DirecTV Sports


	Villa Mitre		Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.33	14.5
	1.29	4	13.34
	1.31	4.12	16.6	Watch
	1.22	4.33	17
	1.25	4.3	14.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.37)	4.22 ↓ (4.33)	15.27 ↑ (7.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Mitre
72.3%

Draw
21.7%

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

21%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

20.4%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Mitre's performance.

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villa Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Gonzalez Gatica E. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Fabello F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.10.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Villa Mitre	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Villa Mitre - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	El Linqueño - Villa Mitre	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Villa Mitre - Deportivo Camioneros	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	Argentino Monte Maíz - Villa Mitre	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWL
- Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.10.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Villa Mitre	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Deportivo Rincón	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Deportivo Rincón - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Atenas Río Cuarto - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.10.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Villa Mitre	3:1
18.03.17	Villa Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:0

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